Unity party, founded by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein in early August 2026 as a right-wing option emphasizing universal IDF conscription and a broad Zionist government, withdrew from the October 27 Knesset election on September 4 after consistent polls placed it well below the 3.25% threshold and alliance talks with groups such as Blue and White collapsed. This recent exit keeps the vote-share market tight, with <0.5% and 2%+ outcomes nearly even, as traders assess whether formal withdrawal guarantees zero recorded support or leaves room for residual or technical votes. Upcoming Central Elections Committee rulings on ballot access and any final list adjustments could separate the leading probabilities before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено2%+ 40%
0.75-1% 38%
1-2% 29%
0.5-0.75% 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<0.5%
43%
0.5-0.75%
27%
0.75-1%
38%
1-2%
29%
2%+
40%
2%+ 40%
0.75-1% 38%
1-2% 29%
0.5-0.75% 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<0.5%
$60 Обс.
43%
0.5-0.75%
$0 Обс.
27%
0.75-1%
$0 Обс.
38%
1-2%
$0 Обс.
29%
2%+
$0 Обс.
40%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Unity party, founded by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein in early August 2026 as a right-wing option emphasizing universal IDF conscription and a broad Zionist government, withdrew from the October 27 Knesset election on September 4 after consistent polls placed it well below the 3.25% threshold and alliance talks with groups such as Blue and White collapsed. This recent exit keeps the vote-share market tight, with <0.5% and 2%+ outcomes nearly even, as traders assess whether formal withdrawal guarantees zero recorded support or leaves room for residual or technical votes. Upcoming Central Elections Committee rulings on ballot access and any final list adjustments could separate the leading probabilities before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$60Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Unity party, founded by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein in early August 2026 as a right-wing option emphasizing universal IDF conscription and a broad Zionist government, withdrew from the October 27 Knesset election on September 4 after consistent polls placed it well below the 3.25% threshold and alliance talks with groups such as Blue and White collapsed. This recent exit keeps the vote-share market tight, with <0.5% and 2%+ outcomes nearly even, as traders assess whether formal withdrawal guarantees zero recorded support or leaves room for residual or technical votes. Upcoming Central Elections Committee rulings on ballot access and any final list adjustments could separate the leading probabilities before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Обсяг
$60Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Unity party, founded by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein in early August 2026 as a right-wing option emphasizing universal IDF conscription and a broad Zionist government, withdrew from the October 27 Knesset election on September 4 after consistent polls placed it well below the 3.25% threshold and alliance talks with groups such as Blue and White collapsed. This recent exit keeps the vote-share market tight, with <0.5% and 2%+ outcomes nearly even, as traders assess whether formal withdrawal guarantees zero recorded support or leaves room for residual or technical votes. Upcoming Central Elections Committee rulings on ballot access and any final list adjustments could separate the leading probabilities before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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