Recent polls place Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, at 23–25 Knesset seats, equating to roughly 19–21% of the vote ahead of the October 27 election. Candidate list finalization and limited mergers have contributed to modest shifts, with Yashar gaining slightly at the expense of Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad slate while Likud holds steady near 20–21 seats. Bloc arithmetic remains fluid as smaller parties like the Hendel-Zelekha alliance hover near the threshold, influencing overall opposition totals but not directly fixing Yashar’s share. High undecided voters and campaign focus on security and governance continue to sustain volatility, keeping implied probabilities clustered across the 16–24% range without clear separation in trader assessments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIsrael Election: Yashar vote share?
Israel Election: Yashar vote share?
16-18% 28%
18-20% 28%
24%+ 27%
22-24% 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<16%
23%
16-18%
28%
18-20%
28%
20-22%
24%
22-24%
25%
24%+
27%
16-18% 28%
18-20% 28%
24%+ 27%
22-24% 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<16%
$0 Обс.
23%
16-18%
$0 Обс.
28%
18-20%
$0 Обс.
28%
20-22%
$0 Обс.
24%
22-24%
$0 Обс.
25%
24%+
$0 Обс.
27%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls place Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, at 23–25 Knesset seats, equating to roughly 19–21% of the vote ahead of the October 27 election. Candidate list finalization and limited mergers have contributed to modest shifts, with Yashar gaining slightly at the expense of Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad slate while Likud holds steady near 20–21 seats. Bloc arithmetic remains fluid as smaller parties like the Hendel-Zelekha alliance hover near the threshold, influencing overall opposition totals but not directly fixing Yashar’s share. High undecided voters and campaign focus on security and governance continue to sustain volatility, keeping implied probabilities clustered across the 16–24% range without clear separation in trader assessments.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Nov 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls place Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, at 23–25 Knesset seats, equating to roughly 19–21% of the vote ahead of the October 27 election. Candidate list finalization and limited mergers have contributed to modest shifts, with Yashar gaining slightly at the expense of Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad slate while Likud holds steady near 20–21 seats. Bloc arithmetic remains fluid as smaller parties like the Hendel-Zelekha alliance hover near the threshold, influencing overall opposition totals but not directly fixing Yashar’s share. High undecided voters and campaign focus on security and governance continue to sustain volatility, keeping implied probabilities clustered across the 16–24% range without clear separation in trader assessments.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Nov 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, at 23–25 Knesset seats, equating to roughly 19–21% of the vote ahead of the October 27 election. Candidate list finalization and limited mergers have contributed to modest shifts, with Yashar gaining slightly at the expense of Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad slate while Likud holds steady near 20–21 seats. Bloc arithmetic remains fluid as smaller parties like the Hendel-Zelekha alliance hover near the threshold, influencing overall opposition totals but not directly fixing Yashar’s share. High undecided voters and campaign focus on security and governance continue to sustain volatility, keeping implied probabilities clustered across the 16–24% range without clear separation in trader assessments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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