Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle's entrenched position in New York's 25th Congressional District drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The Rochester-area seat carries a D+10 partisan lean and Solid Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting consistent voter patterns in presidential elections. Morelle, first elected in 2018, has secured comfortable reelection margins including 60.8 percent in 2024, with no credible Republican challenger emerging before the June 23 primaries. House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries recently assigned him a lead role in New York redistricting, enhancing party support and visibility. High barriers persist for Republicans, though a late high-profile recruitment, personal scandal involving Morelle, or a broad national midterm shift against Democrats could still alter the outlook before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-25 House Election Winner
NY-25 House Election Winner
$24,605 Обс.
$24,605 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$24,605 Обс.
$24,605 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,884 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$9,721 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle's entrenched position in New York's 25th Congressional District drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The Rochester-area seat carries a D+10 partisan lean and Solid Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting consistent voter patterns in presidential elections. Morelle, first elected in 2018, has secured comfortable reelection margins including 60.8 percent in 2024, with no credible Republican challenger emerging before the June 23 primaries. House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries recently assigned him a lead role in New York redistricting, enhancing party support and visibility. High barriers persist for Republicans, though a late high-profile recruitment, personal scandal involving Morelle, or a broad national midterm shift against Democrats could still alter the outlook before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$24,605Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle's entrenched position in New York's 25th Congressional District drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The Rochester-area seat carries a D+10 partisan lean and Solid Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting consistent voter patterns in presidential elections. Morelle, first elected in 2018, has secured comfortable reelection margins including 60.8 percent in 2024, with no credible Republican challenger emerging before the June 23 primaries. House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries recently assigned him a lead role in New York redistricting, enhancing party support and visibility. High barriers persist for Republicans, though a late high-profile recruitment, personal scandal involving Morelle, or a broad national midterm shift against Democrats could still alter the outlook before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$24,605Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle's entrenched position in New York's 25th Congressional District drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The Rochester-area seat carries a D+10 partisan lean and Solid Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting consistent voter patterns in presidential elections. Morelle, first elected in 2018, has secured comfortable reelection margins including 60.8 percent in 2024, with no credible Republican challenger emerging before the June 23 primaries. House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries recently assigned him a lead role in New York redistricting, enhancing party support and visibility. High barriers persist for Republicans, though a late high-profile recruitment, personal scandal involving Morelle, or a broad national midterm shift against Democrats could still alter the outlook before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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