The Missouri Supreme Court's recent unanimous upholding of the state's new congressional map—confirmed by the Secretary of State for use in 2026—has driven trader consensus toward Republicans at 61% in the MO-05 House race, as the redrawn district splits Democratic-leaning Kansas City and extends eastward into rural, Trump-won areas (56.6% in 2024). Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver (D), with over $1 million cash on hand, seeks a 12th term against a crowded Republican primary featuring self-funded Taylor Burks ($1 million cash) and others like Brett Hueffmeier. Mixed ratings (Cook Solid Democratic, Sabato Safe Republican) underscore competitiveness ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election, with a potential referendum challenging the map adding uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
60%
Democratic Party
53%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,729 Обс.
60%
Democratic Party
$1,156 Обс.
53%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Missouri Supreme Court's recent unanimous upholding of the state's new congressional map—confirmed by the Secretary of State for use in 2026—has driven trader consensus toward Republicans at 61% in the MO-05 House race, as the redrawn district splits Democratic-leaning Kansas City and extends eastward into rural, Trump-won areas (56.6% in 2024). Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver (D), with over $1 million cash on hand, seeks a 12th term against a crowded Republican primary featuring self-funded Taylor Burks ($1 million cash) and others like Brett Hueffmeier. Mixed ratings (Cook Solid Democratic, Sabato Safe Republican) underscore competitiveness ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election, with a potential referendum challenging the map adding uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,885Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Missouri Supreme Court's recent unanimous upholding of the state's new congressional map—confirmed by the Secretary of State for use in 2026—has driven trader consensus toward Republicans at 61% in the MO-05 House race, as the redrawn district splits Democratic-leaning Kansas City and extends eastward into rural, Trump-won areas (56.6% in 2024). Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver (D), with over $1 million cash on hand, seeks a 12th term against a crowded Republican primary featuring self-funded Taylor Burks ($1 million cash) and others like Brett Hueffmeier. Mixed ratings (Cook Solid Democratic, Sabato Safe Republican) underscore competitiveness ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election, with a potential referendum challenging the map adding uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$2,885Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Missouri Supreme Court's recent unanimous upholding of the state's new congressional map—confirmed by the Secretary of State for use in 2026—has driven trader consensus toward Republicans at 61% in the MO-05 House race, as the redrawn district splits Democratic-leaning Kansas City and extends eastward into rural, Trump-won areas (56.6% in 2024). Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver (D), with over $1 million cash on hand, seeks a 12th term against a crowded Republican primary featuring self-funded Taylor Burks ($1 million cash) and others like Brett Hueffmeier. Mixed ratings (Cook Solid Democratic, Sabato Safe Republican) underscore competitiveness ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election, with a potential referendum challenging the map adding uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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