Missouri's 6th congressional district has long favored Republican candidates in federal races, with the seat's boundaries delivering consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, including strong performance in the 2024 presidential contest. The August 4, 2026, primaries produced Republican nominee Chris Stigall and Democrat Josh Smead for the open seat following incumbent Sam Graves's retirement, leaving little time for the general election campaign to alter fundamentals before November. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans reflects the district's established partisan composition and limited evidence of a competitive environment. Factors that could narrow this gap include late-cycle national shifts in voter turnout, a significant scandal affecting the Republican nominee, or unusual campaign spending patterns that boost Democratic mobilization in rural and suburban areas.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMO-06 House Election Winner
MO-06 House Election Winner
$37,446 Обс.
$37,446 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$37,446 Обс.
$37,446 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$26,145 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$11,301 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 6th congressional district has long favored Republican candidates in federal races, with the seat's boundaries delivering consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, including strong performance in the 2024 presidential contest. The August 4, 2026, primaries produced Republican nominee Chris Stigall and Democrat Josh Smead for the open seat following incumbent Sam Graves's retirement, leaving little time for the general election campaign to alter fundamentals before November. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans reflects the district's established partisan composition and limited evidence of a competitive environment. Factors that could narrow this gap include late-cycle national shifts in voter turnout, a significant scandal affecting the Republican nominee, or unusual campaign spending patterns that boost Democratic mobilization in rural and suburban areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,446Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 6th congressional district has long favored Republican candidates in federal races, with the seat's boundaries delivering consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, including strong performance in the 2024 presidential contest. The August 4, 2026, primaries produced Republican nominee Chris Stigall and Democrat Josh Smead for the open seat following incumbent Sam Graves's retirement, leaving little time for the general election campaign to alter fundamentals before November. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans reflects the district's established partisan composition and limited evidence of a competitive environment. Factors that could narrow this gap include late-cycle national shifts in voter turnout, a significant scandal affecting the Republican nominee, or unusual campaign spending patterns that boost Democratic mobilization in rural and suburban areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$37,446Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 6th congressional district has long favored Republican candidates in federal races, with the seat's boundaries delivering consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, including strong performance in the 2024 presidential contest. The August 4, 2026, primaries produced Republican nominee Chris Stigall and Democrat Josh Smead for the open seat following incumbent Sam Graves's retirement, leaving little time for the general election campaign to alter fundamentals before November. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans reflects the district's established partisan composition and limited evidence of a competitive environment. Factors that could narrow this gap include late-cycle national shifts in voter turnout, a significant scandal affecting the Republican nominee, or unusual campaign spending patterns that boost Democratic mobilization in rural and suburban areas.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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