Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with nearly 74% of the vote, facing Democrat Fred Wellman in the November general election for Missouri's 2nd congressional district. The seat carries a Republican lean reflected in recent presidential results and Cook Partisan Voter Index ratings around R+6, bolstered by mid-decade redistricting that added more rural counties. Independent forecasts from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Wagner's prior margins and the district's suburban St. Louis and Franklin County composition. Early Democratic polling showed a narrower gap before the primaries, but the underlying partisan baseline and Wagner's established incumbency position the Republican nominee as the clear favorite in trader assessments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMO-02 House Election Winner
MO-02 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
76%
Democratic Party
24%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$4,636 Обс.
76%
Democratic Party
$3,833 Обс.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with nearly 74% of the vote, facing Democrat Fred Wellman in the November general election for Missouri's 2nd congressional district. The seat carries a Republican lean reflected in recent presidential results and Cook Partisan Voter Index ratings around R+6, bolstered by mid-decade redistricting that added more rural counties. Independent forecasts from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Wagner's prior margins and the district's suburban St. Louis and Franklin County composition. Early Democratic polling showed a narrower gap before the primaries, but the underlying partisan baseline and Wagner's established incumbency position the Republican nominee as the clear favorite in trader assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,469Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with nearly 74% of the vote, facing Democrat Fred Wellman in the November general election for Missouri's 2nd congressional district. The seat carries a Republican lean reflected in recent presidential results and Cook Partisan Voter Index ratings around R+6, bolstered by mid-decade redistricting that added more rural counties. Independent forecasts from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Wagner's prior margins and the district's suburban St. Louis and Franklin County composition. Early Democratic polling showed a narrower gap before the primaries, but the underlying partisan baseline and Wagner's established incumbency position the Republican nominee as the clear favorite in trader assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$8,469Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with nearly 74% of the vote, facing Democrat Fred Wellman in the November general election for Missouri's 2nd congressional district. The seat carries a Republican lean reflected in recent presidential results and Cook Partisan Voter Index ratings around R+6, bolstered by mid-decade redistricting that added more rural counties. Independent forecasts from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Wagner's prior margins and the district's suburban St. Louis and Franklin County composition. Early Democratic polling showed a narrower gap before the primaries, but the underlying partisan baseline and Wagner's established incumbency position the Republican nominee as the clear favorite in trader assessments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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