Incumbent Democrat Timothy Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean in western New York, his established incumbency advantage following a 2024 special election win, and the completion of the June 2026 primaries without notable disruptions. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, including fundraising edges, local voter registration patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Dennis Hannon’s Republican nomination faces steep headwinds in a seat rated as solidly Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout, or unforeseen legal or health issues, though none have materialized in recent months.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-26 House Election Winner
NY-26 House Election Winner
$26,592 Обс.
$26,592 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$26,592 Обс.
$26,592 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,424 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$12,168 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Timothy Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean in western New York, his established incumbency advantage following a 2024 special election win, and the completion of the June 2026 primaries without notable disruptions. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, including fundraising edges, local voter registration patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Dennis Hannon’s Republican nomination faces steep headwinds in a seat rated as solidly Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout, or unforeseen legal or health issues, though none have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,592Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Timothy Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean in western New York, his established incumbency advantage following a 2024 special election win, and the completion of the June 2026 primaries without notable disruptions. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, including fundraising edges, local voter registration patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Dennis Hannon’s Republican nomination faces steep headwinds in a seat rated as solidly Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout, or unforeseen legal or health issues, though none have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,592Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Timothy Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean in western New York, his established incumbency advantage following a 2024 special election win, and the completion of the June 2026 primaries without notable disruptions. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, including fundraising edges, local voter registration patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Dennis Hannon’s Republican nomination faces steep headwinds in a seat rated as solidly Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout, or unforeseen legal or health issues, though none have materialized in recent months.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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