South Carolina's 4th congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 16.5-point Trump win in 2024. Incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited crossover potential for Democratic candidates. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding lead ahead of the November 3 general election, pricing in the structural advantages while leaving room for shifts from unusually low turnout, late national developments, or candidate-specific events that could narrow the gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSC-04 House Election Winner
SC-04 House Election Winner
$42,505 Обс.
$42,505 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
$42,505 Обс.
$42,505 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$19,372 Обс.
92%
Democratic Party
$23,133 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 16.5-point Trump win in 2024. Incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited crossover potential for Democratic candidates. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding lead ahead of the November 3 general election, pricing in the structural advantages while leaving room for shifts from unusually low turnout, late national developments, or candidate-specific events that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$42,505Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 16.5-point Trump win in 2024. Incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited crossover potential for Democratic candidates. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding lead ahead of the November 3 general election, pricing in the structural advantages while leaving room for shifts from unusually low turnout, late national developments, or candidate-specific events that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$42,505Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 16.5-point Trump win in 2024. Incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited crossover potential for Democratic candidates. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding lead ahead of the November 3 general election, pricing in the structural advantages while leaving room for shifts from unusually low turnout, late national developments, or candidate-specific events that could narrow the gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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