A court-ordered redistricting in late 2025 transformed Utah's 1st congressional district into a Democratic-leaning seat covering most of Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris would have prevailed by 24 points in 2024. This structural shift underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. Recent polling shows former representative Ben McAdams leading the June 23 Democratic primary, while fundraising and endorsements further consolidate support for Democratic candidates. On the Republican side, nominee Riley Owen faces an uphill path in the revised boundaries. Upcoming primary results and general election dynamics remain key variables that could influence final positioning ahead of the November contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUT-01 House Election Winner
UT-01 House Election Winner
$27,212 Обс.
$27,212 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
77%
Republican Party
18%
$27,212 Обс.
$27,212 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,431 Обс.
77%
Republican Party
$25,782 Обс.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).A court-ordered redistricting in late 2025 transformed Utah's 1st congressional district into a Democratic-leaning seat covering most of Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris would have prevailed by 24 points in 2024. This structural shift underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. Recent polling shows former representative Ben McAdams leading the June 23 Democratic primary, while fundraising and endorsements further consolidate support for Democratic candidates. On the Republican side, nominee Riley Owen faces an uphill path in the revised boundaries. Upcoming primary results and general election dynamics remain key variables that could influence final positioning ahead of the November contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$27,212Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).A court-ordered redistricting in late 2025 transformed Utah's 1st congressional district into a Democratic-leaning seat covering most of Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris would have prevailed by 24 points in 2024. This structural shift underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. Recent polling shows former representative Ben McAdams leading the June 23 Democratic primary, while fundraising and endorsements further consolidate support for Democratic candidates. On the Republican side, nominee Riley Owen faces an uphill path in the revised boundaries. Upcoming primary results and general election dynamics remain key variables that could influence final positioning ahead of the November contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$27,212Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A court-ordered redistricting in late 2025 transformed Utah's 1st congressional district into a Democratic-leaning seat covering most of Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris would have prevailed by 24 points in 2024. This structural shift underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. Recent polling shows former representative Ben McAdams leading the June 23 Democratic primary, while fundraising and endorsements further consolidate support for Democratic candidates. On the Republican side, nominee Riley Owen faces an uphill path in the revised boundaries. Upcoming primary results and general election dynamics remain key variables that could influence final positioning ahead of the November contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання