Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff holds a commanding trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability to win Georgia's battleground U.S. Senate seat on November 3, driven by his consistent polling leads of 4-9 points over top Republican primary contenders in April matchups from Emerson and Echelon Insights. The GOP primary on May 19 remains fragmented, with Rep. Mike Collins leading recent surveys at 27-33% (Quantus Insights May 7; NYT aggregates), Derek Dooley rising to 23% on Gov. Brian Kemp's endorsement, and high undecideds exceeding 40% signaling weak field unity. Ossoff's incumbency advantage, fundraising superiority, and Georgia's recent Democratic Senate wins underpin traders' strong favoritism despite the swing-state dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоGeorgia Senate Election Winner
Georgia Senate Election Winner
$25,275 Обс.
$25,275 Обс.

Democrat
84%

Republican
17%
$25,275 Обс.
$25,275 Обс.

Democrat
84%

Republican
17%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff holds a commanding trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability to win Georgia's battleground U.S. Senate seat on November 3, driven by his consistent polling leads of 4-9 points over top Republican primary contenders in April matchups from Emerson and Echelon Insights. The GOP primary on May 19 remains fragmented, with Rep. Mike Collins leading recent surveys at 27-33% (Quantus Insights May 7; NYT aggregates), Derek Dooley rising to 23% on Gov. Brian Kemp's endorsement, and high undecideds exceeding 40% signaling weak field unity. Ossoff's incumbency advantage, fundraising superiority, and Georgia's recent Democratic Senate wins underpin traders' strong favoritism despite the swing-state dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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