Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer's strong position in Minnesota's 6th congressional district drives the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 87.5%. The district carries an R+10 Partisan Voter Index and delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Trump's 13.5-point win in 2024. Emmer, seeking a seventh term as House Majority Whip, secured his party's nomination with over 80% in the August 11 primary against limited opposition. Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in this suburban and exurban territory rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. With the general election set for November 3, limited polling and the absence of major recent shifts reinforce the wide gap in implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMN-06 House Election Winner
MN-06 House Election Winner
$37,845 Обс.
$37,845 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
10%
$37,845 Обс.
$37,845 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$20,463 Обс.
88%
Democratic Party
$17,382 Обс.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer's strong position in Minnesota's 6th congressional district drives the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 87.5%. The district carries an R+10 Partisan Voter Index and delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Trump's 13.5-point win in 2024. Emmer, seeking a seventh term as House Majority Whip, secured his party's nomination with over 80% in the August 11 primary against limited opposition. Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in this suburban and exurban territory rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. With the general election set for November 3, limited polling and the absence of major recent shifts reinforce the wide gap in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,845Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer's strong position in Minnesota's 6th congressional district drives the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 87.5%. The district carries an R+10 Partisan Voter Index and delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Trump's 13.5-point win in 2024. Emmer, seeking a seventh term as House Majority Whip, secured his party's nomination with over 80% in the August 11 primary against limited opposition. Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in this suburban and exurban territory rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. With the general election set for November 3, limited polling and the absence of major recent shifts reinforce the wide gap in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$37,845Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer's strong position in Minnesota's 6th congressional district drives the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 87.5%. The district carries an R+10 Partisan Voter Index and delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Trump's 13.5-point win in 2024. Emmer, seeking a seventh term as House Majority Whip, secured his party's nomination with over 80% in the August 11 primary against limited opposition. Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in this suburban and exurban territory rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. With the general election set for November 3, limited polling and the absence of major recent shifts reinforce the wide gap in implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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