Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber advanced from the August 11, 2026 primary in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district and faces Democratic nominee Trina Swanson in the November general election. The seat carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and supported the Republican presidential nominee by 14 points in 2024, contributing to its Solid Republican rating from forecasters. Stauber’s established record on district priorities such as mining, energy, and infrastructure aligns with local voter patterns in this northern Minnesota district. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the competitive landscape since the primaries concluded. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Republican Party an 85 percent implied probability of retaining the seat, consistent with historical performance in similarly rated districts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMN-08 House Election Winner
MN-08 House Election Winner
$20,700 Обс.
$20,700 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
14%
$20,700 Обс.
$20,700 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$11,185 Обс.
85%
Democratic Party
$9,514 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber advanced from the August 11, 2026 primary in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district and faces Democratic nominee Trina Swanson in the November general election. The seat carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and supported the Republican presidential nominee by 14 points in 2024, contributing to its Solid Republican rating from forecasters. Stauber’s established record on district priorities such as mining, energy, and infrastructure aligns with local voter patterns in this northern Minnesota district. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the competitive landscape since the primaries concluded. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Republican Party an 85 percent implied probability of retaining the seat, consistent with historical performance in similarly rated districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$20,700Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber advanced from the August 11, 2026 primary in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district and faces Democratic nominee Trina Swanson in the November general election. The seat carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and supported the Republican presidential nominee by 14 points in 2024, contributing to its Solid Republican rating from forecasters. Stauber’s established record on district priorities such as mining, energy, and infrastructure aligns with local voter patterns in this northern Minnesota district. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the competitive landscape since the primaries concluded. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Republican Party an 85 percent implied probability of retaining the seat, consistent with historical performance in similarly rated districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$20,700Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber advanced from the August 11, 2026 primary in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district and faces Democratic nominee Trina Swanson in the November general election. The seat carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and supported the Republican presidential nominee by 14 points in 2024, contributing to its Solid Republican rating from forecasters. Stauber’s established record on district priorities such as mining, energy, and infrastructure aligns with local voter patterns in this northern Minnesota district. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the competitive landscape since the primaries concluded. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Republican Party an 85 percent implied probability of retaining the seat, consistent with historical performance in similarly rated districts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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