Incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin's bid for re-election in Maryland's 8th Congressional District, rated D+30 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring Democrats ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general election. Raskin's history of landslide wins, including 94% in 2022, combined with the district's overwhelming Democratic voter registration edge in Montgomery County and no credible Republican challengers filed to date, solidifies this positioning. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from a surprise primary upset, Raskin scandal or health issue, or recruitment of a high-profile GOP nominee amid a national Republican wave.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMD-08 House Election Winner
MD-08 House Election Winner
$14,356 Обс.
$14,356 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$14,356 Обс.
$14,356 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,416 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$7,939 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin's bid for re-election in Maryland's 8th Congressional District, rated D+30 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring Democrats ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general election. Raskin's history of landslide wins, including 94% in 2022, combined with the district's overwhelming Democratic voter registration edge in Montgomery County and no credible Republican challengers filed to date, solidifies this positioning. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from a surprise primary upset, Raskin scandal or health issue, or recruitment of a high-profile GOP nominee amid a national Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,356Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin's bid for re-election in Maryland's 8th Congressional District, rated D+30 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring Democrats ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general election. Raskin's history of landslide wins, including 94% in 2022, combined with the district's overwhelming Democratic voter registration edge in Montgomery County and no credible Republican challengers filed to date, solidifies this positioning. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from a surprise primary upset, Raskin scandal or health issue, or recruitment of a high-profile GOP nominee amid a national Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$14,356Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin's bid for re-election in Maryland's 8th Congressional District, rated D+30 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring Democrats ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general election. Raskin's history of landslide wins, including 94% in 2022, combined with the district's overwhelming Democratic voter registration edge in Montgomery County and no credible Republican challengers filed to date, solidifies this positioning. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from a surprise primary upset, Raskin scandal or health issue, or recruitment of a high-profile GOP nominee amid a national Republican wave.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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