Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026, primary with over 85% of the vote in Minnesota's 4th congressional district, facing Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, anchored in Ramsey County and the Saint Paul metro area, combined with McCollum's long incumbency and prior margins above 65%, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unexpected national electoral wave altering turnout or voter priorities before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMN-04 House Election Winner
MN-04 House Election Winner
$22,283 Обс.
$22,283 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$22,283 Обс.
$22,283 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,902 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$18,382 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026, primary with over 85% of the vote in Minnesota's 4th congressional district, facing Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, anchored in Ramsey County and the Saint Paul metro area, combined with McCollum's long incumbency and prior margins above 65%, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unexpected national electoral wave altering turnout or voter priorities before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$22,283Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026, primary with over 85% of the vote in Minnesota's 4th congressional district, facing Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, anchored in Ramsey County and the Saint Paul metro area, combined with McCollum's long incumbency and prior margins above 65%, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unexpected national electoral wave altering turnout or voter priorities before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$22,283Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026, primary with over 85% of the vote in Minnesota's 4th congressional district, facing Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, anchored in Ramsey County and the Saint Paul metro area, combined with McCollum's long incumbency and prior margins above 65%, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unexpected national electoral wave altering turnout or voter priorities before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання