Massachusetts's strong Democratic partisan lean and consistent electoral history underpin the dominant market positioning for a Democratic Senate winner. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a narrow lead in the September 1 Democratic primary over challenger Seth Moulton, with limited polling showing Markey ahead by roughly 10 points on average amid low undecideds. Republican candidates remain marginal with minimal fundraising or statewide infrastructure. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with the state's base rates for federal contests, where Democrats have secured Senate seats by wide margins in recent cycles. Potential shifts could stem from a late primary upset producing a less competitive nominee, a major scandal or health event involving the Democratic standard-bearer before November, or an unanticipated national political realignment within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMassachusetts Senate Election Winner
Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
$24,225 Обс.
$24,225 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
98%
Republican
2%
$24,225 Обс.
$24,225 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$18,799 Обс.
98%
Republican
$5,426 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's strong Democratic partisan lean and consistent electoral history underpin the dominant market positioning for a Democratic Senate winner. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a narrow lead in the September 1 Democratic primary over challenger Seth Moulton, with limited polling showing Markey ahead by roughly 10 points on average amid low undecideds. Republican candidates remain marginal with minimal fundraising or statewide infrastructure. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with the state's base rates for federal contests, where Democrats have secured Senate seats by wide margins in recent cycles. Potential shifts could stem from a late primary upset producing a less competitive nominee, a major scandal or health event involving the Democratic standard-bearer before November, or an unanticipated national political realignment within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$24,225Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's strong Democratic partisan lean and consistent electoral history underpin the dominant market positioning for a Democratic Senate winner. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a narrow lead in the September 1 Democratic primary over challenger Seth Moulton, with limited polling showing Markey ahead by roughly 10 points on average amid low undecideds. Republican candidates remain marginal with minimal fundraising or statewide infrastructure. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with the state's base rates for federal contests, where Democrats have secured Senate seats by wide margins in recent cycles. Potential shifts could stem from a late primary upset producing a less competitive nominee, a major scandal or health event involving the Democratic standard-bearer before November, or an unanticipated national political realignment within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$24,225Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's strong Democratic partisan lean and consistent electoral history underpin the dominant market positioning for a Democratic Senate winner. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a narrow lead in the September 1 Democratic primary over challenger Seth Moulton, with limited polling showing Markey ahead by roughly 10 points on average amid low undecideds. Republican candidates remain marginal with minimal fundraising or statewide infrastructure. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with the state's base rates for federal contests, where Democrats have secured Senate seats by wide margins in recent cycles. Potential shifts could stem from a late primary upset producing a less competitive nominee, a major scandal or health event involving the Democratic standard-bearer before November, or an unanticipated national political realignment within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання