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Політика·Канада

Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner

icon for Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner
Політика·Канада

Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner

Mike Derry 77%

Kyle Campbell 18%

John Roggeveen 4.9%

Kyle Joseph <1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Mike Derry 77%

Kyle Campbell 18%

John Roggeveen 4.9%

Kyle Joseph <1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ
icon for Mike Derry

Mike Derry

$486 Обс.

77%

icon for Kyle Campbell

Kyle Campbell

$214 Обс.

18%

icon for John Roggeveen

John Roggeveen

$97 Обс.

5%

icon for Kyle Joseph

Kyle Joseph

$129 Обс.

<1%

A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).Mike Derry leads trader consensus at 76.5% in the Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election set for September 14, 2026, reflecting the riding’s consistent UCP support in prior votes and his June nomination victory over city councillor Dan McLean by 286-221. Premier Danielle Smith and the United Conservative Party have endorsed Derry, a local businessman with oil-and-gas and community experience, positioning him as the frontrunner in a seat vacated by former cabinet minister Rebecca Schulz. Kyle Campbell, the NDP nominee, sits near 17.5% amid limited opposition momentum, while smaller-party candidates John Roggeveen and Kyle Joseph register lower probabilities. Nominations close August 27, and advance voting begins September 8, leaving room for late developments to influence final positioning before election day.

A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
Обсяг
$926
Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 6:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).Mike Derry leads trader consensus at 76.5% in the Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election set for September 14, 2026, reflecting the riding’s consistent UCP support in prior votes and his June nomination victory over city councillor Dan McLean by 286-221. Premier Danielle Smith and the United Conservative Party have endorsed Derry, a local businessman with oil-and-gas and community experience, positioning him as the frontrunner in a seat vacated by former cabinet minister Rebecca Schulz. Kyle Campbell, the NDP nominee, sits near 17.5% amid limited opposition momentum, while smaller-party candidates John Roggeveen and Kyle Joseph register lower probabilities. Nominations close August 27, and advance voting begins September 8, leaving room for late developments to influence final positioning before election day.

A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
Обсяг
$926
Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 6:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Mike Derry» з 77%, далі «Kyle Campbell» з 18%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 21, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner» — «Mike Derry» з 77%. Наступний — «Kyle Campbell» з 18%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.