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Політика·Трамп

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

icon for RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
Політика·Трамп

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

Dec 31

Dec 31

32% шанс
Polymarket

$18,792 Обс.

32% шанс
Polymarket

$18,792 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. remains in his role despite ongoing controversies, including the recent resignation of his chief spokesperson on May 13 over e-cigarette flavor policy disputes and the ouster of FDA Commissioner Marty Makary amid public health tensions. RFK Jr. actively defended HHS budget cuts and priorities in April congressional hearings before House and Senate committees, signaling sustained leadership backed by President Trump, as seen in their joint hantavirus response. Calls for his resignation from HHS staff and criticism of agency leadership vacuums persist, but no official withdrawal, firing, or replacement announcements have emerged, anchoring trader consensus at 68.5% for him staying through December 31 amid a competitive political environment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$18,792
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. remains in his role despite ongoing controversies, including the recent resignation of his chief spokesperson on May 13 over e-cigarette flavor policy disputes and the ouster of FDA Commissioner Marty Makary amid public health tensions. RFK Jr. actively defended HHS budget cuts and priorities in April congressional hearings before House and Senate committees, signaling sustained leadership backed by President Trump, as seen in their joint hantavirus response. Calls for his resignation from HHS staff and criticism of agency leadership vacuums persist, but no official withdrawal, firing, or replacement announcements have emerged, anchoring trader consensus at 68.5% for him staying through December 31 amid a competitive political environment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$18,792
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«RFK Jr. Out by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 32% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 32¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 32%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «RFK Jr. Out by December 31?» згенерував $18.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 19, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «RFK Jr. Out by December 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «RFK Jr. Out by December 31?» — 32% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 32% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «RFK Jr. Out by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.