Oklahoma's open U.S. Senate seat features Republican nominee Kevin Hern, who secured the GOP primary with nearly 70 percent of the vote after former Senator Markwayne Mullin departed for a Cabinet role. All major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent Republican performance, including Donald Trump's 34-point margin in 2024. A late-August poll showed Hern ahead of Democratic nominee N'Kiyla Thomas by 24 points. Traders assign Republicans a 95.5 percent implied probability of victory due to these structural advantages and Hern's strong primary showing with Trump backing. A significant scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and polling averages indicate limited scope for such changes before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOklahoma Senate Election Winner
Oklahoma Senate Election Winner
$19,335 Обс.
$19,335 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
96%
Democrat
4%
$19,335 Обс.
$19,335 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$12,754 Обс.
96%
Democrat
$6,582 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's open U.S. Senate seat features Republican nominee Kevin Hern, who secured the GOP primary with nearly 70 percent of the vote after former Senator Markwayne Mullin departed for a Cabinet role. All major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent Republican performance, including Donald Trump's 34-point margin in 2024. A late-August poll showed Hern ahead of Democratic nominee N'Kiyla Thomas by 24 points. Traders assign Republicans a 95.5 percent implied probability of victory due to these structural advantages and Hern's strong primary showing with Trump backing. A significant scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and polling averages indicate limited scope for such changes before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$19,335Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's open U.S. Senate seat features Republican nominee Kevin Hern, who secured the GOP primary with nearly 70 percent of the vote after former Senator Markwayne Mullin departed for a Cabinet role. All major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent Republican performance, including Donald Trump's 34-point margin in 2024. A late-August poll showed Hern ahead of Democratic nominee N'Kiyla Thomas by 24 points. Traders assign Republicans a 95.5 percent implied probability of victory due to these structural advantages and Hern's strong primary showing with Trump backing. A significant scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and polling averages indicate limited scope for such changes before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$19,335Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's open U.S. Senate seat features Republican nominee Kevin Hern, who secured the GOP primary with nearly 70 percent of the vote after former Senator Markwayne Mullin departed for a Cabinet role. All major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent Republican performance, including Donald Trump's 34-point margin in 2024. A late-August poll showed Hern ahead of Democratic nominee N'Kiyla Thomas by 24 points. Traders assign Republicans a 95.5 percent implied probability of victory due to these structural advantages and Hern's strong primary showing with Trump backing. A significant scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and polling averages indicate limited scope for such changes before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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