Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, centered on the Tulsa metro area, carries an R+11 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. The open-seat contest followed incumbent Kevin Hern’s Senate bid, producing a crowded June 2026 Republican primary that advanced state Representative Mark Tedford as nominee after Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew ahead of the scheduled runoff. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. These dynamics, combined with limited Democratic infrastructure and the district’s structural Republican tilt, underpin trader consensus near 90.5 percent for the GOP. A Democratic upset would require either an unforeseen national wave or a major scandal involving the Republican nominee before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOK-01 House Election Winner
OK-01 House Election Winner
$24,922 Обс.
$24,922 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$24,922 Обс.
$24,922 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$13,068 Обс.
91%
Democratic Party
$11,854 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, centered on the Tulsa metro area, carries an R+11 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. The open-seat contest followed incumbent Kevin Hern’s Senate bid, producing a crowded June 2026 Republican primary that advanced state Representative Mark Tedford as nominee after Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew ahead of the scheduled runoff. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. These dynamics, combined with limited Democratic infrastructure and the district’s structural Republican tilt, underpin trader consensus near 90.5 percent for the GOP. A Democratic upset would require either an unforeseen national wave or a major scandal involving the Republican nominee before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$24,922Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, centered on the Tulsa metro area, carries an R+11 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. The open-seat contest followed incumbent Kevin Hern’s Senate bid, producing a crowded June 2026 Republican primary that advanced state Representative Mark Tedford as nominee after Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew ahead of the scheduled runoff. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. These dynamics, combined with limited Democratic infrastructure and the district’s structural Republican tilt, underpin trader consensus near 90.5 percent for the GOP. A Democratic upset would require either an unforeseen national wave or a major scandal involving the Republican nominee before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$24,922Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, centered on the Tulsa metro area, carries an R+11 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. The open-seat contest followed incumbent Kevin Hern’s Senate bid, producing a crowded June 2026 Republican primary that advanced state Representative Mark Tedford as nominee after Jackson Lahmeyer withdrew ahead of the scheduled runoff. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. These dynamics, combined with limited Democratic infrastructure and the district’s structural Republican tilt, underpin trader consensus near 90.5 percent for the GOP. A Democratic upset would require either an unforeseen national wave or a major scandal involving the Republican nominee before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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