Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin has shown no signs of a coup attempt through mid-August 2026, despite spring intelligence reports citing elevated Kremlin concerns over potential plots, including links to former defense minister Sergei Shoigu, and resulting security enhancements around the president. The regime has consolidated power through loyal security structures, suppression of opposition, and wartime mobilization, with no verified elite defections, military uprisings, or public challenges emerging since the 2023 Wagner events. Ongoing pressures from the Ukraine conflict have prompted internal strains and elite caution but have also reinforced authoritarian controls and national unity narratives. Traders price the "No" outcome at 93.5% as the absence of concrete developments through the year's first eight months aligns with historical patterns of regime resilience.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено7% шанс
$118,347 Обс.
$118,347 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
7% шанс
$118,347 Обс.
$118,347 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin has shown no signs of a coup attempt through mid-August 2026, despite spring intelligence reports citing elevated Kremlin concerns over potential plots, including links to former defense minister Sergei Shoigu, and resulting security enhancements around the president. The regime has consolidated power through loyal security structures, suppression of opposition, and wartime mobilization, with no verified elite defections, military uprisings, or public challenges emerging since the 2023 Wagner events. Ongoing pressures from the Ukraine conflict have prompted internal strains and elite caution but have also reinforced authoritarian controls and national unity narratives. Traders price the "No" outcome at 93.5% as the absence of concrete developments through the year's first eight months aligns with historical patterns of regime resilience.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Обсяг
$118,347Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin has shown no signs of a coup attempt through mid-August 2026, despite spring intelligence reports citing elevated Kremlin concerns over potential plots, including links to former defense minister Sergei Shoigu, and resulting security enhancements around the president. The regime has consolidated power through loyal security structures, suppression of opposition, and wartime mobilization, with no verified elite defections, military uprisings, or public challenges emerging since the 2023 Wagner events. Ongoing pressures from the Ukraine conflict have prompted internal strains and elite caution but have also reinforced authoritarian controls and national unity narratives. Traders price the "No" outcome at 93.5% as the absence of concrete developments through the year's first eight months aligns with historical patterns of regime resilience.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$118,347Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin has shown no signs of a coup attempt through mid-August 2026, despite spring intelligence reports citing elevated Kremlin concerns over potential plots, including links to former defense minister Sergei Shoigu, and resulting security enhancements around the president. The regime has consolidated power through loyal security structures, suppression of opposition, and wartime mobilization, with no verified elite defections, military uprisings, or public challenges emerging since the 2023 Wagner events. Ongoing pressures from the Ukraine conflict have prompted internal strains and elite caution but have also reinforced authoritarian controls and national unity narratives. Traders price the "No" outcome at 93.5% as the absence of concrete developments through the year's first eight months aligns with historical patterns of regime resilience.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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