Trader consensus prices "No" at 94% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming flows before 2027, reflecting the lines' ongoing inoperability since 2022 sabotage—three of four damaged, with repairs neither initiated nor planned amid unresolved German investigations implicating a Ukrainian suspect. EU Regulation 2026/261 enforces a stepwise phase-out of Russian pipeline gas imports, banning new contracts and tightening origin rules ahead of a full 2027 cutoff under REPowerEU, while Germany under Chancellor Merz actively backs prohibitions on revival to uphold sanctions and energy diversification via LNG. Recent Russian claims, including Lavrov's March assertion of U.S. takeover interest and unconfirmed Putin-Trump talks on U.S.-overseen restart, have yielded no concrete diplomatic or technical progress, solidifying barriers with under eight months remaining.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$10,541 Обс.
$10,541 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$10,541 Обс.
$10,541 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 94% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming flows before 2027, reflecting the lines' ongoing inoperability since 2022 sabotage—three of four damaged, with repairs neither initiated nor planned amid unresolved German investigations implicating a Ukrainian suspect. EU Regulation 2026/261 enforces a stepwise phase-out of Russian pipeline gas imports, banning new contracts and tightening origin rules ahead of a full 2027 cutoff under REPowerEU, while Germany under Chancellor Merz actively backs prohibitions on revival to uphold sanctions and energy diversification via LNG. Recent Russian claims, including Lavrov's March assertion of U.S. takeover interest and unconfirmed Putin-Trump talks on U.S.-overseen restart, have yielded no concrete diplomatic or technical progress, solidifying barriers with under eight months remaining.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
Обсяг
$10,541Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 94% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming flows before 2027, reflecting the lines' ongoing inoperability since 2022 sabotage—three of four damaged, with repairs neither initiated nor planned amid unresolved German investigations implicating a Ukrainian suspect. EU Regulation 2026/261 enforces a stepwise phase-out of Russian pipeline gas imports, banning new contracts and tightening origin rules ahead of a full 2027 cutoff under REPowerEU, while Germany under Chancellor Merz actively backs prohibitions on revival to uphold sanctions and energy diversification via LNG. Recent Russian claims, including Lavrov's March assertion of U.S. takeover interest and unconfirmed Putin-Trump talks on U.S.-overseen restart, have yielded no concrete diplomatic or technical progress, solidifying barriers with under eight months remaining.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$10,541Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 94% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming flows before 2027, reflecting the lines' ongoing inoperability since 2022 sabotage—three of four damaged, with repairs neither initiated nor planned amid unresolved German investigations implicating a Ukrainian suspect. EU Regulation 2026/261 enforces a stepwise phase-out of Russian pipeline gas imports, banning new contracts and tightening origin rules ahead of a full 2027 cutoff under REPowerEU, while Germany under Chancellor Merz actively backs prohibitions on revival to uphold sanctions and energy diversification via LNG. Recent Russian claims, including Lavrov's March assertion of U.S. takeover interest and unconfirmed Putin-Trump talks on U.S.-overseen restart, have yielded no concrete diplomatic or technical progress, solidifying barriers with under eight months remaining.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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