US diplomatic envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff conducted their first visit to Kyiv on September 6, 2026, following talks with Vladimir Putin in Moscow as part of renewed US efforts to advance ceasefire negotiations. This development, combined with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s hosting of the Carpathian Eight regional summit on September 18 involving leaders from Poland, Romania, Serbia and other neighbors, has shaped trader assessments of near-term diplomatic travel. Ongoing peace talks, EU financial support tranches, and hybrid security concerns continue to influence visit probabilities through year-end, with scheduled multilateral events and bilateral meetings serving as key potential catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWho will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
$544,941 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Ursula von der Leyen
45%
Friedrich Merz
49%
Mark Carney
24%
Mark Rutte
23%
Emmanuel Macron
14%
António Guterres
11%
JD Vance
8%
Donald Trump
4%
$544,941 Обс.
Ursula von der Leyen
$10,222 Обс.
45%
Friedrich Merz
$76,405 Обс.
49%
Mark Carney
$12,158 Обс.
24%
Mark Rutte
$9,818 Обс.
23%
Emmanuel Macron
$7,812 Обс.
14%
António Guterres
$9,634 Обс.
11%
JD Vance
$146,823 Обс.
8%
Donald Trump
$108,979 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US diplomatic envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff conducted their first visit to Kyiv on September 6, 2026, following talks with Vladimir Putin in Moscow as part of renewed US efforts to advance ceasefire negotiations. This development, combined with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s hosting of the Carpathian Eight regional summit on September 18 involving leaders from Poland, Romania, Serbia and other neighbors, has shaped trader assessments of near-term diplomatic travel. Ongoing peace talks, EU financial support tranches, and hybrid security concerns continue to influence visit probabilities through year-end, with scheduled multilateral events and bilateral meetings serving as key potential catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 29, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Обсяг
$544,941Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 6:59 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US diplomatic envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff conducted their first visit to Kyiv on September 6, 2026, following talks with Vladimir Putin in Moscow as part of renewed US efforts to advance ceasefire negotiations. This development, combined with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s hosting of the Carpathian Eight regional summit on September 18 involving leaders from Poland, Romania, Serbia and other neighbors, has shaped trader assessments of near-term diplomatic travel. Ongoing peace talks, EU financial support tranches, and hybrid security concerns continue to influence visit probabilities through year-end, with scheduled multilateral events and bilateral meetings serving as key potential catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$544,941Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 6:59 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...US diplomatic envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff conducted their first visit to Kyiv on September 6, 2026, following talks with Vladimir Putin in Moscow as part of renewed US efforts to advance ceasefire negotiations. This development, combined with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s hosting of the Carpathian Eight regional summit on September 18 involving leaders from Poland, Romania, Serbia and other neighbors, has shaped trader assessments of near-term diplomatic travel. Ongoing peace talks, EU financial support tranches, and hybrid security concerns continue to influence visit probabilities through year-end, with scheduled multilateral events and bilateral meetings serving as key potential catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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