The elevated 50% consensus on "Other" reflects the broad field of contenders in the expanded 2026 World Cup, where teams such as France, Spain, and England feature elite attackers like Kylian Mbappé who could outlast Argentina, Portugal, or Brazil. Lionel Messi edges ahead at 40.5% as defending champions with Argentina's strong recent form and depth, while Cristiano Ronaldo sits close at 39% buoyed by Portugal's attacking talent and his international experience despite heavy reliance on him. Neymar trails at 23.5% amid ongoing calf concerns that threaten his availability for Brazil's early matches and a history of fitness disruptions limiting his impact. These trader-implied probabilities align with current squad fitness reports and national team rankings entering the tournament.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Messi, Ronaldo or Neymar Advance Furthest in the World Cup?
Lionel Messi 41%
Cristiano Ronaldo 40%
Neymar Jr. 24%
Lionel Messi
41%
Cristiano Ronaldo
40%
Neymar Jr.
24%
Lionel Messi 41%
Cristiano Ronaldo 40%
Neymar Jr. 24%
Lionel Messi
41%
Cristiano Ronaldo
40%
Neymar Jr.
24%
If multiple players' nations are tied for the furthest stage reached in the tournament, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose nation won the most total games during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who recorded the most goal contributions during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who received fewer total disciplinary cards during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup (each card counts as a singular event, double yellows resulting in red still count as two cards). If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player’s nation to be the furthest to advance in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which player’s nation advanced the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 3, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If multiple players' nations are tied for the furthest stage reached in the tournament, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose nation won the most total games during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who recorded the most goal contributions during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who received fewer total disciplinary cards during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup (each card counts as a singular event, double yellows resulting in red still count as two cards). If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player’s nation to be the furthest to advance in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which player’s nation advanced the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The elevated 50% consensus on "Other" reflects the broad field of contenders in the expanded 2026 World Cup, where teams such as France, Spain, and England feature elite attackers like Kylian Mbappé who could outlast Argentina, Portugal, or Brazil. Lionel Messi edges ahead at 40.5% as defending champions with Argentina's strong recent form and depth, while Cristiano Ronaldo sits close at 39% buoyed by Portugal's attacking talent and his international experience despite heavy reliance on him. Neymar trails at 23.5% amid ongoing calf concerns that threaten his availability for Brazil's early matches and a history of fitness disruptions limiting his impact. These trader-implied probabilities align with current squad fitness reports and national team rankings entering the tournament.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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