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Sport·FIFA Fussball-Weltmeisterschaft

World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination

icon for World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination
Sport·FIFA Fussball-Weltmeisterschaft

World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination

Round of 16 33%

Round of 32 26%

Quarterfinals 18%

Semifinals 12%

Polymarket
NEU

Round of 16 33%

Round of 32 26%

Quarterfinals 18%

Semifinals 12%

Polymarket
NEU

Group Stage

$497 Vol.

3%

Round of 32

$540 Vol.

26%

Round of 16

$161 Vol.

33%

Quarterfinals

$128 Vol.

18%

Semifinals

$0 Vol.

12%

Final

$10 Vol.

7%

Champion

$270 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Germany enters the 2026 World Cup with a squad blending elite attacking talent such as Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz alongside experienced leaders like Joshua Kimmich, Antonio Rüdiger, and returning goalkeeper Manuel Neuer under Julian Nagelsmann. Recent preparations in North Carolina, squad finalization, and strong qualification results have lifted confidence after group-stage exits in 2018 and 2022, supporting trader consensus that an early group-stage elimination remains unlikely. Fitness questions around Musiala and striker options, combined with limited historical depth at major tournaments, keep probabilities elevated for elimination in the round of 32 or round of 16 while capping deeper runs. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing incorporates these variables alongside the expanded 48-team format and group draw.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,605
Enddatum
19. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 7, 2026, 1:00 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Germany enters the 2026 World Cup with a squad blending elite attacking talent such as Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz alongside experienced leaders like Joshua Kimmich, Antonio Rüdiger, and returning goalkeeper Manuel Neuer under Julian Nagelsmann. Recent preparations in North Carolina, squad finalization, and strong qualification results have lifted confidence after group-stage exits in 2018 and 2022, supporting trader consensus that an early group-stage elimination remains unlikely. Fitness questions around Musiala and striker options, combined with limited historical depth at major tournaments, keep probabilities elevated for elimination in the round of 32 or round of 16 while capping deeper runs. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing incorporates these variables alongside the expanded 48-team format and group draw.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,605
Enddatum
19. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 7, 2026, 1:00 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Round of 16" mit 33%, gefolgt von „Round of 32" mit 26%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 33¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 33% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jun 7, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination" ist „Round of 16" mit 33%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 33% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Round of 32" mit 26%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „World Cup: Germany Stage of Elimination" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.