Tunisia enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup in a challenging Group F alongside the Netherlands, Japan, and Sweden, a draw that heavily shapes trader expectations for an early exit. The Eagles of Carthage have never advanced past the group stage in six prior appearances, and while their unbeaten qualifying campaign without conceding a goal showcased defensive solidity, analysts note the squad lacks the depth and attacking quality to compete consistently against stronger sides. New head coach Sabri Lamouchi has had limited preparation time with a relatively young roster featuring players like Hannibal Mejbri, and potential pre-tournament injury concerns add uncertainty. These factors align with the market's strong consensus on group-stage elimination as the leading outcome, reflecting the wisdom of crowds assessing realistic advancement barriers in an expanded tournament format.