Trader sentiment for the #2 AI lab by end of November shows tight competition driven by rapid releases of large language models and multimodal systems with advanced style control features. Meta leads implied odds at 27.5% on the back of open-source model updates and accessible style customization tools that boost developer adoption, while Google sits at 16% through its research scale and integration across platforms. OpenAI, Anthropic, and several Chinese labs including MiniMax and Tencent trail in single digits amid focus on safety benchmarks, efficiency gains, and regulatory navigation. Key upcoming catalysts include fall model launches and capability demonstrations that could clarify positioning before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGoogle 44%
Meta 28%
Moonshot 25.4%
Anthropic 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
44%
Meta
28%
Moonshot
25%
Anthropic
22%
OpenAI
10%
Tencent
6%
Xiaomi
5%
Z.ai
4%
Nvidia
4%
Microsoft
4%
Amazon
4%
ByteDance
4%
Meituan
4%
Mistral
3%
MiniMax
3%
Thinky
3%
Alibaba
3%
StepFun
3%
Baidu
2%
SpaceXAI
25%
DeepSeek
12%
Google 44%
Meta 28%
Moonshot 25.4%
Anthropic 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
$447 Vol.
44%
Meta
$398 Vol.
28%
Moonshot
$93 Vol.
25%
Anthropic
$340 Vol.
22%
OpenAI
$136 Vol.
10%
Tencent
$591 Vol.
6%
Xiaomi
$93 Vol.
5%
Z.ai
$134 Vol.
4%
Nvidia
$93 Vol.
4%
Microsoft
$93 Vol.
4%
Amazon
$93 Vol.
4%
ByteDance
$96 Vol.
4%
Meituan
$93 Vol.
4%
Mistral
$93 Vol.
3%
MiniMax
$808 Vol.
3%
Thinky
$88 Vol.
3%
Alibaba
$137 Vol.
3%
StepFun
$93 Vol.
3%
Baidu
$137 Vol.
2%
SpaceXAI
$113 Vol.
25%
DeepSeek
$203 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment for the #2 AI lab by end of November shows tight competition driven by rapid releases of large language models and multimodal systems with advanced style control features. Meta leads implied odds at 27.5% on the back of open-source model updates and accessible style customization tools that boost developer adoption, while Google sits at 16% through its research scale and integration across platforms. OpenAI, Anthropic, and several Chinese labs including MiniMax and Tencent trail in single digits amid focus on safety benchmarks, efficiency gains, and regulatory navigation. Key upcoming catalysts include fall model launches and capability demonstrations that could clarify positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
Volume
$4,374Date de fin
1 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment for the #2 AI lab by end of November shows tight competition driven by rapid releases of large language models and multimodal systems with advanced style control features. Meta leads implied odds at 27.5% on the back of open-source model updates and accessible style customization tools that boost developer adoption, while Google sits at 16% through its research scale and integration across platforms. OpenAI, Anthropic, and several Chinese labs including MiniMax and Tencent trail in single digits amid focus on safety benchmarks, efficiency gains, and regulatory navigation. Key upcoming catalysts include fall model launches and capability demonstrations that could clarify positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$4,374Date de fin
1 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the #2 AI lab by end of November shows tight competition driven by rapid releases of large language models and multimodal systems with advanced style control features. Meta leads implied odds at 27.5% on the back of open-source model updates and accessible style customization tools that boost developer adoption, while Google sits at 16% through its research scale and integration across platforms. OpenAI, Anthropic, and several Chinese labs including MiniMax and Tencent trail in single digits amid focus on safety benchmarks, efficiency gains, and regulatory navigation. Key upcoming catalysts include fall model launches and capability demonstrations that could clarify positioning before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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