The expanded 48-team format for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with 12 groups of four and only the top two advancing from each, drives the overwhelming 98.2% implied probability that at least one side will finish winless. This structure increases the number of lower-ranked entrants from global qualifiers, many of whom face challenging opening fixtures against stronger opponents. Historical patterns from prior World Cups, including multiple winless teams in the 32-team era, reinforce trader expectations that at least one participant will collect zero points from three group-stage matches. While an unusually even distribution of results across all groups could theoretically prevent this outcome, the depth of the field and typical performance gaps make such a scenario highly improbable under current conditions.