France and Spain sit atop the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at implied probabilities of 18.3% and 16.7%, with England close behind, as traders weigh their superior squad depth and recent international results. France climbed to No. 1 in the FIFA rankings after March friendlies, while Spain benefits from a young core including Lamine Yamal, expected fit despite a recent hamstring issue. England’s consistent qualifying form and attacking options keep them competitive, though Brazil and Argentina trail due to key absences like Rodrygo. The expanded 48-team format and staggered group stage amplify the race’s tightness, with multiple sides boasting balanced rosters capable of deep runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFrance 18.3%
Espagne 16.7%
Angleterre 11.3%
Brésil 9.2%
$1,014,399,543 Vol.
$1,014,399,543 Vol.
20 juil. 2026
France
18%
Espagne
17%
Angleterre
11%
Brésil
9%
Argentine
8%
Portugal
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
3%
Norvège
2%
Japon
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
États-Unis
2%
Maroc
2%
Suisse
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexique
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Turquie
1%
Autriche
1%
Suède
1%
Canada
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
France 18.3%
Espagne 16.7%
Angleterre 11.3%
Brésil 9.2%
$1,014,399,543 Vol.
$1,014,399,543 Vol.
20 juil. 2026
France
$27,277,763 Vol.
18%
Espagne
$21,498,440 Vol.
17%
Angleterre
$17,689,309 Vol.
11%
Brésil
$18,928,678 Vol.
9%
Argentine
$18,540,550 Vol.
8%
Portugal
$20,230,653 Vol.
8%
Allemagne
$17,269,924 Vol.
5%
Pays-Bas
$19,377,493 Vol.
3%
Norvège
$17,811,830 Vol.
2%
Japon
$22,063,485 Vol.
2%
Belgique
$16,997,135 Vol.
2%
Colombie
$15,758,331 Vol.
2%
États-Unis
$32,336,430 Vol.
2%
Maroc
$20,692,122 Vol.
2%
Suisse
$18,529,042 Vol.
1%
Uruguay
$17,968,835 Vol.
1%
Mexique
$19,654,681 Vol.
1%
Croatie
$21,570,990 Vol.
1%
Équateur
$22,251,011 Vol.
1%
Sénégal
$17,634,357 Vol.
1%
Turquie
$11,028,258 Vol.
1%
Autriche
$18,801,976 Vol.
1%
Suède
$9,962,169 Vol.
1%
Canada
$23,068,951 Vol.
<1%
Corée du Sud
$24,553,390 Vol.
<1%
Paraguay
$19,738,721 Vol.
<1%
Écosse
$18,703,981 Vol.
<1%
Côte d'Ivoire
$23,382,849 Vol.
<1%
Égypte
$23,794,167 Vol.
<1%
Ghana
$18,265,730 Vol.
<1%
Algérie
$21,942,768 Vol.
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
$10,820,823 Vol.
<1%
Tchéquie
$9,516,684 Vol.
<1%
Australie
$23,969,827 Vol.
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
$31,178,080 Vol.
<1%
Haïti
$18,036,748 Vol.
<1%
Jordanie
$26,180,618 Vol.
<1%
Curaçao
$36,733,108 Vol.
<1%
Iran
$24,921,678 Vol.
<1%
Tunisie
$22,392,527 Vol.
<1%
Ouzbékistan
$39,029,402 Vol.
<1%
Panama
$13,154,418 Vol.
<1%
Irak
$12,741,148 Vol.
<1%
Afrique du Sud
$27,181,695 Vol.
<1%
RD Congo
$16,547,543 Vol.
<1%
Cape Verde
$23,182,745 Vol.
<1%
Qatar
$24,801,741 Vol.
<1%
Arabie saoudite
$27,771,488 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France and Spain sit atop the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at implied probabilities of 18.3% and 16.7%, with England close behind, as traders weigh their superior squad depth and recent international results. France climbed to No. 1 in the FIFA rankings after March friendlies, while Spain benefits from a young core including Lamine Yamal, expected fit despite a recent hamstring issue. England’s consistent qualifying form and attacking options keep them competitive, though Brazil and Argentina trail due to key absences like Rodrygo. The expanded 48-team format and staggered group stage amplify the race’s tightness, with multiple sides boasting balanced rosters capable of deep runs.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$1,014,399,543Date de fin
20 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France and Spain sit atop the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at implied probabilities of 18.3% and 16.7%, with England close behind, as traders weigh their superior squad depth and recent international results. France climbed to No. 1 in the FIFA rankings after March friendlies, while Spain benefits from a young core including Lamine Yamal, expected fit despite a recent hamstring issue. England’s consistent qualifying form and attacking options keep them competitive, though Brazil and Argentina trail due to key absences like Rodrygo. The expanded 48-team format and staggered group stage amplify the race’s tightness, with multiple sides boasting balanced rosters capable of deep runs.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,014,399,543Date de fin
20 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France and Spain sit atop the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at implied probabilities of 18.3% and 16.7%, with England close behind, as traders weigh their superior squad depth and recent international results. France climbed to No. 1 in the FIFA rankings after March friendlies, while Spain benefits from a young core including Lamine Yamal, expected fit despite a recent hamstring issue. England’s consistent qualifying form and attacking options keep them competitive, though Brazil and Argentina trail due to key absences like Rodrygo. The expanded 48-team format and staggered group stage amplify the race’s tightness, with multiple sides boasting balanced rosters capable of deep runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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