Carlos Alcaraz's victory in the 2026 Australian Open final over Novak Djokovic has locked in the market's 100% implied probability for the top seed, reflecting his completion of the career Grand Slam at age 22. Recent developments include his five-set semifinal win against Alexander Zverev and dominant hard-court form throughout the draw at Melbourne Park. The wisdom of crowds in trader consensus highlights Alcaraz's superior ranking, recent major results, and head-to-head edge in high-stakes matches. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes in similar future events involve sudden injuries, late withdrawals, or extreme weather delays, though none impacted this resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGrigor Dimitrov <1%
$28,062,025 Vol.
$28,062,025 Vol.
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov <1%
$28,062,025 Vol.
$28,062,025 Vol.
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Carlos Alcaraz's victory in the 2026 Australian Open final over Novak Djokovic has locked in the market's 100% implied probability for the top seed, reflecting his completion of the career Grand Slam at age 22. Recent developments include his five-set semifinal win against Alexander Zverev and dominant hard-court form throughout the draw at Melbourne Park. The wisdom of crowds in trader consensus highlights Alcaraz's superior ranking, recent major results, and head-to-head edge in high-stakes matches. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes in similar future events involve sudden injuries, late withdrawals, or extreme weather delays, though none impacted this resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes