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icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa partira en tant que leader de la Syrie d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?
Politique·Trump X Al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa partira en tant que leader de la Syrie d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa partira en tant que leader de la Syrie d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?
Politique·Trump X Al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa partira en tant que leader de la Syrie d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

déc. 31

déc. 31

Oui

13% chance
Polymarket

$56,666 Vol.

Oui

13% chance
Polymarket

$56,666 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated authority since his formal appointment in January 2025 following the Assad regime’s collapse. Recent developments include successful military integration of the Syrian Democratic Forces after January 2026 operations, a March 2026 decree recognizing Kurdish rights and language, and a May 2026 cabinet reshuffle removing family members to broaden domestic support. International engagement has strengthened his position through White House meetings, EU cooperation resumption talks, UK bilateral discussions, and removal from UN sanctions lists. These steps have produced a transitional framework extending to 2030 with scheduled elections, reducing near-term removal risks despite ongoing sectarian and economic pressures. Trader consensus at 87.5% for continuation through December 2026 reflects this record of institutional endurance and external legitimacy.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,666
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated authority since his formal appointment in January 2025 following the Assad regime’s collapse. Recent developments include successful military integration of the Syrian Democratic Forces after January 2026 operations, a March 2026 decree recognizing Kurdish rights and language, and a May 2026 cabinet reshuffle removing family members to broaden domestic support. International engagement has strengthened his position through White House meetings, EU cooperation resumption talks, UK bilateral discussions, and removal from UN sanctions lists. These steps have produced a transitional framework extending to 2030 with scheduled elections, reducing near-term removal risks despite ongoing sectarian and economic pressures. Trader consensus at 87.5% for continuation through December 2026 reflects this record of institutional endurance and external legitimacy.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,666
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Ahmed al-Sharaa partira en tant que leader de la Syrie d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Ahmed al-Sharaa n'est plus le dirigeant de la Syrie d'ici au 31 décembre 2026 ? » à 13%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 13¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 13% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Ahmed al-Sharaa partira en tant que leader de la Syrie d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ? » a généré $56.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 5, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Ahmed al-Sharaa partira en tant que leader de la Syrie d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Ahmed al-Sharaa partira en tant que leader de la Syrie d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ? » est « Ahmed al-Sharaa n'est plus le dirigeant de la Syrie d'ici au 31 décembre 2026 ? » à 13%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 13% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Ahmed al-Sharaa partira en tant que leader de la Syrie d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.