Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 39.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive revenue growth to $45 billion annualized run rate and recent private funding talks valuing the AI lab at $900–950 billion—including a potential $30 billion round closing this month co-led by Dragoneer and Sequoia. This follows February's $30 billion Series G raise at $380 billion post-money and April's $1 trillion secondary market surge on Forge Global, underscoring Claude's competitive edge against OpenAI's large language models amid surging enterprise AI demand. Lower brackets trail due to IPO prep via Wilson Sonsini but no S-1 filing yet, with a Q4 2026 debut eyed; "No IPO by 2027" at 13.5% reflects caution over regulatory hurdles and further private capital needs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour1.8T+ 40%
1.2–1.5T 15%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
0.9–1.2T 13%
$45,286 Vol.
$45,286 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<0.6T
4%
0.6–0.9T
6%
0.9–1.2T
13%
1.2–1.5T
15%
1.5–1.8T
13%
1.8T+
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
1.8T+ 40%
1.2–1.5T 15%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
0.9–1.2T 13%
$45,286 Vol.
$45,286 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<0.6T
$3,442 Vol.
4%
0.6–0.9T
$7,164 Vol.
6%
0.9–1.2T
$5,564 Vol.
13%
1.2–1.5T
$5,185 Vol.
15%
1.5–1.8T
$5,070 Vol.
13%
1.8T+
$11,487 Vol.
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$7,373 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 39.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive revenue growth to $45 billion annualized run rate and recent private funding talks valuing the AI lab at $900–950 billion—including a potential $30 billion round closing this month co-led by Dragoneer and Sequoia. This follows February's $30 billion Series G raise at $380 billion post-money and April's $1 trillion secondary market surge on Forge Global, underscoring Claude's competitive edge against OpenAI's large language models amid surging enterprise AI demand. Lower brackets trail due to IPO prep via Wilson Sonsini but no S-1 filing yet, with a Q4 2026 debut eyed; "No IPO by 2027" at 13.5% reflects caution over regulatory hurdles and further private capital needs.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$45,286Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 39.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive revenue growth to $45 billion annualized run rate and recent private funding talks valuing the AI lab at $900–950 billion—including a potential $30 billion round closing this month co-led by Dragoneer and Sequoia. This follows February's $30 billion Series G raise at $380 billion post-money and April's $1 trillion secondary market surge on Forge Global, underscoring Claude's competitive edge against OpenAI's large language models amid surging enterprise AI demand. Lower brackets trail due to IPO prep via Wilson Sonsini but no S-1 filing yet, with a Q4 2026 debut eyed; "No IPO by 2027" at 13.5% reflects caution over regulatory hurdles and further private capital needs.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$45,286Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 39.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive revenue growth to $45 billion annualized run rate and recent private funding talks valuing the AI lab at $900–950 billion—including a potential $30 billion round closing this month co-led by Dragoneer and Sequoia. This follows February's $30 billion Series G raise at $380 billion post-money and April's $1 trillion secondary market surge on Forge Global, underscoring Claude's competitive edge against OpenAI's large language models amid surging enterprise AI demand. Lower brackets trail due to IPO prep via Wilson Sonsini but no S-1 filing yet, with a Q4 2026 debut eyed; "No IPO by 2027" at 13.5% reflects caution over regulatory hurdles and further private capital needs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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