Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 58.1% implied probability after posting 73 goals across club and country in 2025-26, powering Bayern Munich to the Bundesliga title and DFB-Pokal while adding key strikes for England en route to a World Cup third-place finish. Traders view his volume and consistency as outweighing the lack of a major international trophy, especially compared to prior seasons. Lamine Yamal sits at 20.5% on the strength of his role in Spain's World Cup triumph and productive Barcelona campaign despite injury interruptions. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Lionel Messi trail further back at single-digit shares, reflecting their teams' outcomes and more modest individual hauls relative to Kane's output ahead of the October 26 ceremony.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHarry Kane 58.1%
Lamine Yamal 20.5%
Kylian Mbappé 7.6%
Lionel Messi 5.7%
$37,640,416 Vol.
$37,640,416 Vol.
Harry Kane
58%
Lamine Yamal
21%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Lionel Messi
6%
Rodri
5%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Harry Kane 58.1%
Lamine Yamal 20.5%
Kylian Mbappé 7.6%
Lionel Messi 5.7%
$37,640,416 Vol.
$37,640,416 Vol.
Harry Kane
58%
Lamine Yamal
21%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Lionel Messi
6%
Rodri
5%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 58.1% implied probability after posting 73 goals across club and country in 2025-26, powering Bayern Munich to the Bundesliga title and DFB-Pokal while adding key strikes for England en route to a World Cup third-place finish. Traders view his volume and consistency as outweighing the lack of a major international trophy, especially compared to prior seasons. Lamine Yamal sits at 20.5% on the strength of his role in Spain's World Cup triumph and productive Barcelona campaign despite injury interruptions. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Lionel Messi trail further back at single-digit shares, reflecting their teams' outcomes and more modest individual hauls relative to Kane's output ahead of the October 26 ceremony.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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