Alibaba leads trader pricing at 66% due to its Qwen model family's unmatched open-source adoption, with over one billion downloads, hundreds of thousands of derivatives on Hugging Face, and leading token volume on platforms like OpenRouter. Its integration across Alibaba Cloud, enterprise agents, and e-commerce platforms provides commercial scale that pure-play labs lack. Z.ai follows at 21.5% on the strength of GLM-5 models topping recent open-weight benchmarks in coding and reasoning, plus its Hong Kong IPO and enterprise reach. Smaller shares for Moonshot, DeepSeek, and others reflect strong but narrower capabilities in agentic tasks or efficiency without comparable ecosystem breadth. Recent Qwen releases and sustained usage data have reinforced Alibaba's edge heading into late July.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAlibaba 66%
Z.ai 22%
Moonshot 4.8%
StepFun 3.4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 juil. 2026
Alibaba
66%
Z.ai
22%
Moonshot
5%
StepFun
3%
ByteDance
3%
Meituan
2%
DeepSeek
2%
Tencent
2%
Xiaomi
1%
Baidu
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Alibaba 66%
Z.ai 22%
Moonshot 4.8%
StepFun 3.4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 juil. 2026
Alibaba
$1,509 Vol.
66%
Z.ai
$578 Vol.
22%
Moonshot
$432 Vol.
5%
StepFun
$557 Vol.
3%
ByteDance
$536 Vol.
3%
Meituan
$460 Vol.
2%
DeepSeek
$467 Vol.
2%
Tencent
$506 Vol.
2%
Xiaomi
$366 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$366 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$461 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Alibaba leads trader pricing at 66% due to its Qwen model family's unmatched open-source adoption, with over one billion downloads, hundreds of thousands of derivatives on Hugging Face, and leading token volume on platforms like OpenRouter. Its integration across Alibaba Cloud, enterprise agents, and e-commerce platforms provides commercial scale that pure-play labs lack. Z.ai follows at 21.5% on the strength of GLM-5 models topping recent open-weight benchmarks in coding and reasoning, plus its Hong Kong IPO and enterprise reach. Smaller shares for Moonshot, DeepSeek, and others reflect strong but narrower capabilities in agentic tasks or efficiency without comparable ecosystem breadth. Recent Qwen releases and sustained usage data have reinforced Alibaba's edge heading into late July.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Jun 4, 2026, 3:25 PM ET
Volume
$6,236Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 4, 2026, 3:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Alibaba leads trader pricing at 66% due to its Qwen model family's unmatched open-source adoption, with over one billion downloads, hundreds of thousands of derivatives on Hugging Face, and leading token volume on platforms like OpenRouter. Its integration across Alibaba Cloud, enterprise agents, and e-commerce platforms provides commercial scale that pure-play labs lack. Z.ai follows at 21.5% on the strength of GLM-5 models topping recent open-weight benchmarks in coding and reasoning, plus its Hong Kong IPO and enterprise reach. Smaller shares for Moonshot, DeepSeek, and others reflect strong but narrower capabilities in agentic tasks or efficiency without comparable ecosystem breadth. Recent Qwen releases and sustained usage data have reinforced Alibaba's edge heading into late July.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$6,236Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 4, 2026, 3:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alibaba leads trader pricing at 66% due to its Qwen model family's unmatched open-source adoption, with over one billion downloads, hundreds of thousands of derivatives on Hugging Face, and leading token volume on platforms like OpenRouter. Its integration across Alibaba Cloud, enterprise agents, and e-commerce platforms provides commercial scale that pure-play labs lack. Z.ai follows at 21.5% on the strength of GLM-5 models topping recent open-weight benchmarks in coding and reasoning, plus its Hong Kong IPO and enterprise reach. Smaller shares for Moonshot, DeepSeek, and others reflect strong but narrower capabilities in agentic tasks or efficiency without comparable ecosystem breadth. Recent Qwen releases and sustained usage data have reinforced Alibaba's edge heading into late July.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes