Skip to main content
icon for CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
Elections·House Elections

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

icon for CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
Elections·House Elections

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

NOUVEAU
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Mai Vang

$4,242 Vol.

57%

Doris Matsui

$1,318 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 7th congressional district, trader consensus favors incumbent Doris Matsui at 66% for the November 2026 general election, reflecting her long tenure, established fundraising edge, and broad Democratic endorsements amid a solidly blue district. Mai Vang at 51% trails as the primary runner-up, buoyed by her narrow primary lead and progressive platform on affordability and generational change but facing the typical hurdles for challengers against sitting members. The June 2 top-two primary results, where both Democrats advanced over Republican contenders, set the stage for a November matchup, with market pricing incorporating historical incumbent retention rates in similar districts and limited recent polling shifts. Other listed candidates remain at 50% amid negligible general-election prospects.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$5,560
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 7th congressional district, trader consensus favors incumbent Doris Matsui at 66% for the November 2026 general election, reflecting her long tenure, established fundraising edge, and broad Democratic endorsements amid a solidly blue district. Mai Vang at 51% trails as the primary runner-up, buoyed by her narrow primary lead and progressive platform on affordability and generational change but facing the typical hurdles for challengers against sitting members. The June 2 top-two primary results, where both Democrats advanced over Republican contenders, set the stage for a November matchup, with market pricing incorporating historical incumbent retention rates in similar districts and limited recent polling shifts. Other listed candidates remain at 50% amid negligible general-election prospects.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$5,560
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual) » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Mai Vang » à 57%, suivi de « Doris Matsui » à 40%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 57¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual) » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 6, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual) », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual) » est « Mai Vang » à 57%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Doris Matsui » à 40%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual) » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.