Scott Wiener leads the CA-11 general election market at around 60% after topping the June 2026 top-two primary with 40.7% to Connie Chan’s 29.7%, reflecting stronger fundraising, broader geographic support across San Francisco precincts, and established state legislative record. The race remains competitive in this solidly Democratic district because Chan has narrowed the gap in recent polling through high-profile endorsements from Nancy Pelosi and Barbara Boxer, plus appeals to progressive voters on tenant protections and skepticism of state housing mandates. Wiener’s emphasis on large-scale density reforms and cross-precinct strength keeps his edge, while upcoming factors such as turnout among key voting blocs, independent expenditures, and further endorsements could widen or close the margin before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$12,983 Vol.
$12,983 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Scott Wiener
60%
Connie Chan
41%
$12,983 Vol.
$12,983 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Scott Wiener
$2,978 Vol.
60%
Connie Chan
$10,006 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener leads the CA-11 general election market at around 60% after topping the June 2026 top-two primary with 40.7% to Connie Chan’s 29.7%, reflecting stronger fundraising, broader geographic support across San Francisco precincts, and established state legislative record. The race remains competitive in this solidly Democratic district because Chan has narrowed the gap in recent polling through high-profile endorsements from Nancy Pelosi and Barbara Boxer, plus appeals to progressive voters on tenant protections and skepticism of state housing mandates. Wiener’s emphasis on large-scale density reforms and cross-precinct strength keeps his edge, while upcoming factors such as turnout among key voting blocs, independent expenditures, and further endorsements could widen or close the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET
Volume
$12,983Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener leads the CA-11 general election market at around 60% after topping the June 2026 top-two primary with 40.7% to Connie Chan’s 29.7%, reflecting stronger fundraising, broader geographic support across San Francisco precincts, and established state legislative record. The race remains competitive in this solidly Democratic district because Chan has narrowed the gap in recent polling through high-profile endorsements from Nancy Pelosi and Barbara Boxer, plus appeals to progressive voters on tenant protections and skepticism of state housing mandates. Wiener’s emphasis on large-scale density reforms and cross-precinct strength keeps his edge, while upcoming factors such as turnout among key voting blocs, independent expenditures, and further endorsements could widen or close the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,983Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Scott Wiener leads the CA-11 general election market at around 60% after topping the June 2026 top-two primary with 40.7% to Connie Chan’s 29.7%, reflecting stronger fundraising, broader geographic support across San Francisco precincts, and established state legislative record. The race remains competitive in this solidly Democratic district because Chan has narrowed the gap in recent polling through high-profile endorsements from Nancy Pelosi and Barbara Boxer, plus appeals to progressive voters on tenant protections and skepticism of state housing mandates. Wiener’s emphasis on large-scale density reforms and cross-precinct strength keeps his edge, while upcoming factors such as turnout among key voting blocs, independent expenditures, and further endorsements could widen or close the margin before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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