Scott Wiener leads trader consensus in the CA-11 general election at 63.5% implied probability, ahead of Connie Chan at 34.5%, following their advancement as the top two finishers from the June 2026 top-two primary. Wiener captured 40.7% of the primary vote compared with Chan’s 29.7%, benefiting from broader geographic support across San Francisco precincts, endorsements from state Democratic leaders including Attorney General Rob Bonta, and significant outside spending tied to housing policy priorities. Chan secured Pelosi’s endorsement late in the primary and draws strength from progressive-leaning voters on the city’s west side. With the November 3 general election two months away in this solidly Democratic district, recent activity centers on Wiener’s continued focus on AI safety legislation and housing measures, while both candidates emphasize affordability and local issues; no major shifts in polling or endorsements have altered the frontrunner dynamic since the primary results.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$15,713 Vol.
$15,713 Vol.
Scott Wiener
64%
Connie Chan
36%
$15,713 Vol.
$15,713 Vol.
Scott Wiener
64%
Connie Chan
36%
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Scott Wiener leads trader consensus in the CA-11 general election at 63.5% implied probability, ahead of Connie Chan at 34.5%, following their advancement as the top two finishers from the June 2026 top-two primary. Wiener captured 40.7% of the primary vote compared with Chan’s 29.7%, benefiting from broader geographic support across San Francisco precincts, endorsements from state Democratic leaders including Attorney General Rob Bonta, and significant outside spending tied to housing policy priorities. Chan secured Pelosi’s endorsement late in the primary and draws strength from progressive-leaning voters on the city’s west side. With the November 3 general election two months away in this solidly Democratic district, recent activity centers on Wiener’s continued focus on AI safety legislation and housing measures, while both candidates emphasize affordability and local issues; no major shifts in polling or endorsements have altered the frontrunner dynamic since the primary results.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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