Aisha Wahab holds a strong lead in trader pricing for the CA-14 House seat due to her victory in the August 18 special runoff, where she defeated Melissa Hernandez 53.1% to 46.9% after both advanced from the June special primary. Wahab, the state senator and progressive Democrat, benefits from her established base in the East Bay district and recent confirmation as the representative for the remainder of the term following Eric Swalwell’s resignation. Hernandez, a former Dublin mayor and BART board member, received substantial outside spending from pro-Israel groups but fell short in the runoff. Both candidates are set to compete again in the November general election for the full term, with Wahab’s incumbency advantage and primary performance shaping the current market consensus around her favored position.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$20,914 Vol.
$20,914 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Aisha Wahab
85%
Melissa Hernandez
15%
$20,914 Vol.
$20,914 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Aisha Wahab
$12,780 Vol.
85%
Melissa Hernandez
$8,133 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aisha Wahab holds a strong lead in trader pricing for the CA-14 House seat due to her victory in the August 18 special runoff, where she defeated Melissa Hernandez 53.1% to 46.9% after both advanced from the June special primary. Wahab, the state senator and progressive Democrat, benefits from her established base in the East Bay district and recent confirmation as the representative for the remainder of the term following Eric Swalwell’s resignation. Hernandez, a former Dublin mayor and BART board member, received substantial outside spending from pro-Israel groups but fell short in the runoff. Both candidates are set to compete again in the November general election for the full term, with Wahab’s incumbency advantage and primary performance shaping the current market consensus around her favored position.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Volume
$20,914Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aisha Wahab holds a strong lead in trader pricing for the CA-14 House seat due to her victory in the August 18 special runoff, where she defeated Melissa Hernandez 53.1% to 46.9% after both advanced from the June special primary. Wahab, the state senator and progressive Democrat, benefits from her established base in the East Bay district and recent confirmation as the representative for the remainder of the term following Eric Swalwell’s resignation. Hernandez, a former Dublin mayor and BART board member, received substantial outside spending from pro-Israel groups but fell short in the runoff. Both candidates are set to compete again in the November general election for the full term, with Wahab’s incumbency advantage and primary performance shaping the current market consensus around her favored position.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,914Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Aisha Wahab holds a strong lead in trader pricing for the CA-14 House seat due to her victory in the August 18 special runoff, where she defeated Melissa Hernandez 53.1% to 46.9% after both advanced from the June special primary. Wahab, the state senator and progressive Democrat, benefits from her established base in the East Bay district and recent confirmation as the representative for the remainder of the term following Eric Swalwell’s resignation. Hernandez, a former Dublin mayor and BART board member, received substantial outside spending from pro-Israel groups but fell short in the runoff. Both candidates are set to compete again in the November general election for the full term, with Wahab’s incumbency advantage and primary performance shaping the current market consensus around her favored position.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes