Aisha Wahab holds the leading position in the CA-14 House race due to her victory in the August 2026 special election runoff, where she secured 53.1% against Melissa Hernandez. That contest followed a June special primary in which Wahab captured over 42% as the top Democrat, advancing both candidates to the November ballot for the full term. Her recent incumbency status, combined with strong performance in the East Bay district's Democratic primary dynamics, has shaped trader consensus around her prospects. Hernandez narrowed the special election gap with outside spending but fell short, leaving her with a narrower path in the general election amid established voter preferences from the June and August contests. The district's top-two primary structure and Wahab's prior state Senate experience further reinforce current market positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$20,764 Vol.
$20,764 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Aisha Wahab
84%
Melissa Hernandez
15%
$20,764 Vol.
$20,764 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Aisha Wahab
$12,630 Vol.
84%
Melissa Hernandez
$8,133 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aisha Wahab holds the leading position in the CA-14 House race due to her victory in the August 2026 special election runoff, where she secured 53.1% against Melissa Hernandez. That contest followed a June special primary in which Wahab captured over 42% as the top Democrat, advancing both candidates to the November ballot for the full term. Her recent incumbency status, combined with strong performance in the East Bay district's Democratic primary dynamics, has shaped trader consensus around her prospects. Hernandez narrowed the special election gap with outside spending but fell short, leaving her with a narrower path in the general election amid established voter preferences from the June and August contests. The district's top-two primary structure and Wahab's prior state Senate experience further reinforce current market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Volume
$20,764Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aisha Wahab holds the leading position in the CA-14 House race due to her victory in the August 2026 special election runoff, where she secured 53.1% against Melissa Hernandez. That contest followed a June special primary in which Wahab captured over 42% as the top Democrat, advancing both candidates to the November ballot for the full term. Her recent incumbency status, combined with strong performance in the East Bay district's Democratic primary dynamics, has shaped trader consensus around her prospects. Hernandez narrowed the special election gap with outside spending but fell short, leaving her with a narrower path in the general election amid established voter preferences from the June and August contests. The district's top-two primary structure and Wahab's prior state Senate experience further reinforce current market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,764Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Aisha Wahab holds the leading position in the CA-14 House race due to her victory in the August 2026 special election runoff, where she secured 53.1% against Melissa Hernandez. That contest followed a June special primary in which Wahab captured over 42% as the top Democrat, advancing both candidates to the November ballot for the full term. Her recent incumbency status, combined with strong performance in the East Bay district's Democratic primary dynamics, has shaped trader consensus around her prospects. Hernandez narrowed the special election gap with outside spending but fell short, leaving her with a narrower path in the general election amid established voter preferences from the June and August contests. The district's top-two primary structure and Wahab's prior state Senate experience further reinforce current market positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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