Ken Calvert leads the CA-40 race at 73.5% in trader consensus following the June 2026 top-two primary, where he captured 35% of the vote to Young Kim’s 21% amid Democratic vote splitting that prevented any Democrat from advancing. Redistricting under Proposition 50 merged portions of their prior districts, giving Calvert overlap with 51% of the new Republican-leaning constituency versus Kim’s 35%, bolstering his name recognition, fundraising edge, and primary consolidation of GOP support. The solidly Republican district, with no Democratic nominee on the November ballot, reinforces expectations of a Republican hold, though negative advertising between the incumbents and turnout patterns could still influence the final margin before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Ken Calvert
73%
Young Kim
23%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Ken Calvert
$1,060 Vol.
73%
Young Kim
$796 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ken Calvert leads the CA-40 race at 73.5% in trader consensus following the June 2026 top-two primary, where he captured 35% of the vote to Young Kim’s 21% amid Democratic vote splitting that prevented any Democrat from advancing. Redistricting under Proposition 50 merged portions of their prior districts, giving Calvert overlap with 51% of the new Republican-leaning constituency versus Kim’s 35%, bolstering his name recognition, fundraising edge, and primary consolidation of GOP support. The solidly Republican district, with no Democratic nominee on the November ballot, reinforces expectations of a Republican hold, though negative advertising between the incumbents and turnout patterns could still influence the final margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET
Volume
$1,856Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ken Calvert leads the CA-40 race at 73.5% in trader consensus following the June 2026 top-two primary, where he captured 35% of the vote to Young Kim’s 21% amid Democratic vote splitting that prevented any Democrat from advancing. Redistricting under Proposition 50 merged portions of their prior districts, giving Calvert overlap with 51% of the new Republican-leaning constituency versus Kim’s 35%, bolstering his name recognition, fundraising edge, and primary consolidation of GOP support. The solidly Republican district, with no Democratic nominee on the November ballot, reinforces expectations of a Republican hold, though negative advertising between the incumbents and turnout patterns could still influence the final margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$1,856Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Ken Calvert leads the CA-40 race at 73.5% in trader consensus following the June 2026 top-two primary, where he captured 35% of the vote to Young Kim’s 21% amid Democratic vote splitting that prevented any Democrat from advancing. Redistricting under Proposition 50 merged portions of their prior districts, giving Calvert overlap with 51% of the new Republican-leaning constituency versus Kim’s 35%, bolstering his name recognition, fundraising edge, and primary consolidation of GOP support. The solidly Republican district, with no Democratic nominee on the November ballot, reinforces expectations of a Republican hold, though negative advertising between the incumbents and turnout patterns could still influence the final margin before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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