Banco de la República de Colombia’s policy rate has remained at 12% since the July 31 hold following June’s 75-basis-point hike, with trader consensus assigning a 68% implied probability to no change at the October meeting amid elevated inflation. August 2026 headline inflation rose to 6.24% year-over-year from 6.03% in July, exceeding the 3% target and prompting board members to signal a data-dependent review of the required degree of restrictiveness. Supporting factors for stability include the Colombian peso’s recent strength, which has eased imported price pressures, alongside the cumulative impact of prior tightening and resilient but not overheating economic activity. Markets price in limited scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction at 7–14% odds, reflecting uncertainty over whether inflation momentum will persist into the September 30 decision and subsequent releases.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAucun changement 68%
Hausse de 25 points de base 14%
Hausse de plus de 50 points de base 12.5%
Baisse de 25 points de base 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 oct. 2026
Baisse de plus de 50 points de base
2%
Baisse de 25 points de base
7%
Aucun changement
68%
Hausse de 25 points de base
14%
Hausse de plus de 50 points de base
13%
Aucun changement 68%
Hausse de 25 points de base 14%
Hausse de plus de 50 points de base 12.5%
Baisse de 25 points de base 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 oct. 2026
Baisse de plus de 50 points de base
$481 Vol.
2%
Baisse de 25 points de base
$1,191 Vol.
7%
Aucun changement
$4,658 Vol.
68%
Hausse de 25 points de base
$822 Vol.
14%
Hausse de plus de 50 points de base
$1,157 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Banco de la República de Colombia’s policy rate has remained at 12% since the July 31 hold following June’s 75-basis-point hike, with trader consensus assigning a 68% implied probability to no change at the October meeting amid elevated inflation. August 2026 headline inflation rose to 6.24% year-over-year from 6.03% in July, exceeding the 3% target and prompting board members to signal a data-dependent review of the required degree of restrictiveness. Supporting factors for stability include the Colombian peso’s recent strength, which has eased imported price pressures, alongside the cumulative impact of prior tightening and resilient but not overheating economic activity. Markets price in limited scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction at 7–14% odds, reflecting uncertainty over whether inflation momentum will persist into the September 30 decision and subsequent releases.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 11:32 AM ET
Volume
$8,308Date de fin
30 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 11:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventosRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Banco de la República de Colombia’s policy rate has remained at 12% since the July 31 hold following June’s 75-basis-point hike, with trader consensus assigning a 68% implied probability to no change at the October meeting amid elevated inflation. August 2026 headline inflation rose to 6.24% year-over-year from 6.03% in July, exceeding the 3% target and prompting board members to signal a data-dependent review of the required degree of restrictiveness. Supporting factors for stability include the Colombian peso’s recent strength, which has eased imported price pressures, alongside the cumulative impact of prior tightening and resilient but not overheating economic activity. Markets price in limited scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction at 7–14% odds, reflecting uncertainty over whether inflation momentum will persist into the September 30 decision and subsequent releases.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Volume
$8,308Date de fin
30 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 11:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventosRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Banco de la República de Colombia’s policy rate has remained at 12% since the July 31 hold following June’s 75-basis-point hike, with trader consensus assigning a 68% implied probability to no change at the October meeting amid elevated inflation. August 2026 headline inflation rose to 6.24% year-over-year from 6.03% in July, exceeding the 3% target and prompting board members to signal a data-dependent review of the required degree of restrictiveness. Supporting factors for stability include the Colombian peso’s recent strength, which has eased imported price pressures, alongside the cumulative impact of prior tightening and resilient but not overheating economic activity. Markets price in limited scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction at 7–14% odds, reflecting uncertainty over whether inflation momentum will persist into the September 30 decision and subsequent releases.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La Banque centrale de Colombie ne procédera-t-elle à aucun changement du taux d'intérêt directeur lors de la réunion de septembre ?
56%
Oui
La Banque du Brésil réduira-t-elle l'objectif du taux Selic de 25 points de base lors de la réunion de novembre ?
63%
Oui
La Banque du Brésil ne changera-t-elle pas l'objectif du taux Selic lors de la réunion de décembre ?
53%
Oui
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