Trader consensus prices a coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027 at just 3.3%, reflecting his ironclad control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and People's Liberation Army (PLA) amid ongoing political purges. In January 2026, unverified rumors of a failed plot involving top generals like Zhang Youxia—vice chairman of the Central Military Commission—circulated after corruption probes and arrests of nearly 3,000 personnel, but Xi swiftly neutralized threats, extending his anti-corruption campaign into his inner circle without destabilizing Zhongnanhai. No confirmed challenges have emerged since, underscoring institutional loyalty and surveillance dominance. Realistic shifts could stem from economic crisis, Taiwan escalation, or Xi's health decline, though structural barriers remain high.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$127,557 Vol.
$127,557 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$127,557 Vol.
$127,557 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027 at just 3.3%, reflecting his ironclad control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and People's Liberation Army (PLA) amid ongoing political purges. In January 2026, unverified rumors of a failed plot involving top generals like Zhang Youxia—vice chairman of the Central Military Commission—circulated after corruption probes and arrests of nearly 3,000 personnel, but Xi swiftly neutralized threats, extending his anti-corruption campaign into his inner circle without destabilizing Zhongnanhai. No confirmed challenges have emerged since, underscoring institutional loyalty and surveillance dominance. Realistic shifts could stem from economic crisis, Taiwan escalation, or Xi's health decline, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$127,557Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027 at just 3.3%, reflecting his ironclad control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and People's Liberation Army (PLA) amid ongoing political purges. In January 2026, unverified rumors of a failed plot involving top generals like Zhang Youxia—vice chairman of the Central Military Commission—circulated after corruption probes and arrests of nearly 3,000 personnel, but Xi swiftly neutralized threats, extending his anti-corruption campaign into his inner circle without destabilizing Zhongnanhai. No confirmed challenges have emerged since, underscoring institutional loyalty and surveillance dominance. Realistic shifts could stem from economic crisis, Taiwan escalation, or Xi's health decline, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$127,557Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027 at just 3.3%, reflecting his ironclad control over the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and People's Liberation Army (PLA) amid ongoing political purges. In January 2026, unverified rumors of a failed plot involving top generals like Zhang Youxia—vice chairman of the Central Military Commission—circulated after corruption probes and arrests of nearly 3,000 personnel, but Xi swiftly neutralized threats, extending his anti-corruption campaign into his inner circle without destabilizing Zhongnanhai. No confirmed challenges have emerged since, underscoring institutional loyalty and surveillance dominance. Realistic shifts could stem from economic crisis, Taiwan escalation, or Xi's health decline, though structural barriers remain high.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes