Databricks' recent $5 billion private funding round at a $190 billion valuation, closed August 13, 2026, underscores robust revenue momentum—with annualized run rate reaching $6.9 billion by June, up over 80% year-over-year—while highlighting a preference for extended private capital raises. CEO comments labeling 2026 a crowded IPO window, citing competition from SpaceX and others, reinforce trader consensus around delayed public listing. These dynamics position the 63.5% implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027, as the leading outcome, with secondary-market valuations near $170-190 billion anchoring sentiment for potential closing market caps below $150 billion or in the $400-450 billion range upon eventual debut, subject to public-market multiples and macroeconomic conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour150-200 milliards $ 86%
<150 milliards $ 85%
400 à 450 milliards de dollars 82%
200 M$–250 M$ 80%
<150 milliards $
85%
150-200 milliards $
86%
200 M$–250 M$
80%
250 à 300 milliards de dollars
60%
300-350 milliards $
60%
350–400 milliards $
60%
400 à 450 milliards de dollars
82%
450 milliards $ +
60%
Pas d'entrée en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027
64%
150-200 milliards $ 86%
<150 milliards $ 85%
400 à 450 milliards de dollars 82%
200 M$–250 M$ 80%
<150 milliards $
85%
150-200 milliards $
86%
200 M$–250 M$
80%
250 à 300 milliards de dollars
60%
300-350 milliards $
60%
350–400 milliards $
60%
400 à 450 milliards de dollars
82%
450 milliards $ +
60%
Pas d'entrée en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027
64%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Databricks' recent $5 billion private funding round at a $190 billion valuation, closed August 13, 2026, underscores robust revenue momentum—with annualized run rate reaching $6.9 billion by June, up over 80% year-over-year—while highlighting a preference for extended private capital raises. CEO comments labeling 2026 a crowded IPO window, citing competition from SpaceX and others, reinforce trader consensus around delayed public listing. These dynamics position the 63.5% implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027, as the leading outcome, with secondary-market valuations near $170-190 billion anchoring sentiment for potential closing market caps below $150 billion or in the $400-450 billion range upon eventual debut, subject to public-market multiples and macroeconomic conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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