Delaware’s at-large congressional district has remained in Democratic hands for decades, supported by the state’s consistent partisan lean, urban and suburban voter concentration in New Castle County, and historical margins often exceeding 15 points. Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride, who won the open seat in 2024 by roughly 16 points after succeeding Lisa Blunt Rochester, benefits from name recognition, fundraising strength, and unified party support ahead of the September 15 primary and November 3 general election. Republican primary contenders face limited statewide infrastructure and fundraising, leaving the seat rated safe Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic reflects these structural factors rather than any single recent event. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes Delaware’s underlying demographics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants DE-AL
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants DE-AL
$18,412 Vol.
$18,412 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
6%
$18,412 Vol.
$18,412 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$5,250 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$13,162 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district has remained in Democratic hands for decades, supported by the state’s consistent partisan lean, urban and suburban voter concentration in New Castle County, and historical margins often exceeding 15 points. Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride, who won the open seat in 2024 by roughly 16 points after succeeding Lisa Blunt Rochester, benefits from name recognition, fundraising strength, and unified party support ahead of the September 15 primary and November 3 general election. Republican primary contenders face limited statewide infrastructure and fundraising, leaving the seat rated safe Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic reflects these structural factors rather than any single recent event. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes Delaware’s underlying demographics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$18,412Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district has remained in Democratic hands for decades, supported by the state’s consistent partisan lean, urban and suburban voter concentration in New Castle County, and historical margins often exceeding 15 points. Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride, who won the open seat in 2024 by roughly 16 points after succeeding Lisa Blunt Rochester, benefits from name recognition, fundraising strength, and unified party support ahead of the September 15 primary and November 3 general election. Republican primary contenders face limited statewide infrastructure and fundraising, leaving the seat rated safe Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic reflects these structural factors rather than any single recent event. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes Delaware’s underlying demographics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,412Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware’s at-large congressional district has remained in Democratic hands for decades, supported by the state’s consistent partisan lean, urban and suburban voter concentration in New Castle County, and historical margins often exceeding 15 points. Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride, who won the open seat in 2024 by roughly 16 points after succeeding Lisa Blunt Rochester, benefits from name recognition, fundraising strength, and unified party support ahead of the September 15 primary and November 3 general election. Republican primary contenders face limited statewide infrastructure and fundraising, leaving the seat rated safe Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic reflects these structural factors rather than any single recent event. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes Delaware’s underlying demographics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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