Traders see a wide-open October for Elon Musk’s X activity, with the 1000+ bracket leading at 22.5% implied probability and the 800–999 range clustered around 12.5% each, reflecting his erratic posting cadence. Recent September 2026 data shows sharp swings—weeks settling in the 40–64 bracket alongside others hitting 180–219—driven by bursts tied to platform lawsuits, political commentary, and company updates at Tesla and xAI. His daily pace often averages 20–50 posts but spikes during high-engagement stretches, making a full-month total unpredictable. No major October catalysts stand out yet, leaving the market pricing in both sustained high-volume periods and potential lulls.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour1000+ 23%
800-839 13%
840-879 13%
880-919 13%
$104,664 Vol.
$104,664 Vol.
31 oct. 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
1%
680-699
1%
700-719
2%
720-739
2%
740-759
2%
760-779
4%
780-799
9%
800-839
13%
840-879
13%
880-919
13%
920-959
13%
960-999
13%
1000+
23%
1000+ 23%
800-839 13%
840-879 13%
880-919 13%
$104,664 Vol.
$104,664 Vol.
31 oct. 2026
<20
$525 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$435 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$430 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$445 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$440 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$515 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$495 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$510 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$315 Vol.
<1%
180-199
$500 Vol.
<1%
200-219
$490 Vol.
<1%
220-239
$415 Vol.
<1%
240-259
$495 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$415 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$495 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$497 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$497 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$495 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$510 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$495 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$805 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$1,395 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$475 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$1,543 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$2,345 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$876 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$696 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$1,084 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$1,353 Vol.
1%
580-599
$2,267 Vol.
<1%
600-619
$1,135 Vol.
<1%
620-639
$1,561 Vol.
1%
640-659
$1,544 Vol.
1%
660-679
$1,516 Vol.
1%
680-699
$1,420 Vol.
1%
700-719
$2,510 Vol.
2%
720-739
$2,544 Vol.
2%
740-759
$1,965 Vol.
2%
760-779
$2,159 Vol.
4%
780-799
$7,247 Vol.
9%
800-839
$11,995 Vol.
13%
840-879
$10,982 Vol.
13%
880-919
$12,560 Vol.
13%
920-959
$10,243 Vol.
13%
960-999
$7,802 Vol.
13%
1000+
$5,230 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see a wide-open October for Elon Musk’s X activity, with the 1000+ bracket leading at 22.5% implied probability and the 800–999 range clustered around 12.5% each, reflecting his erratic posting cadence. Recent September 2026 data shows sharp swings—weeks settling in the 40–64 bracket alongside others hitting 180–219—driven by bursts tied to platform lawsuits, political commentary, and company updates at Tesla and xAI. His daily pace often averages 20–50 posts but spikes during high-engagement stretches, making a full-month total unpredictable. No major October catalysts stand out yet, leaving the market pricing in both sustained high-volume periods and potential lulls.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$104,664Date de fin
1 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see a wide-open October for Elon Musk’s X activity, with the 1000+ bracket leading at 22.5% implied probability and the 800–999 range clustered around 12.5% each, reflecting his erratic posting cadence. Recent September 2026 data shows sharp swings—weeks settling in the 40–64 bracket alongside others hitting 180–219—driven by bursts tied to platform lawsuits, political commentary, and company updates at Tesla and xAI. His daily pace often averages 20–50 posts but spikes during high-engagement stretches, making a full-month total unpredictable. No major October catalysts stand out yet, leaving the market pricing in both sustained high-volume periods and potential lulls.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$104,664Date de fin
1 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a wide-open October for Elon Musk’s X activity, with the 1000+ bracket leading at 22.5% implied probability and the 800–999 range clustered around 12.5% each, reflecting his erratic posting cadence. Recent September 2026 data shows sharp swings—weeks settling in the 40–64 bracket alongside others hitting 180–219—driven by bursts tied to platform lawsuits, political commentary, and company updates at Tesla and xAI. His daily pace often averages 20–50 posts but spikes during high-engagement stretches, making a full-month total unpredictable. No major October catalysts stand out yet, leaving the market pricing in both sustained high-volume periods and potential lulls.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes