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icon for Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

icon for Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Australia 51%

Ukraine 14.9%

Romania 14.5%

Bulgaria 13.6%

Polymarket

$179,630 Vol.

Australia 51%

Ukraine 14.9%

Romania 14.5%

Bulgaria 13.6%

Polymarket

$179,630 Vol.

Australia

$32,074 Vol.

51%

Ukraine

$10,741 Vol.

15%

Romania

$13,822 Vol.

14%

Bulgaria

$10,073 Vol.

14%

Denmark

$43,201 Vol.

10%

Albania

$6,045 Vol.

1%

Cyprus

$6,851 Vol.

1%

Czechia

$8,058 Vol.

1%

Norway

$6,340 Vol.

<1%

Malta

$8,110 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" has established Australia as the dominant frontrunner at 49.5% implied probability to claim the highest score in Eurovision 2026's Second Semi-Final, propelled by universal acclaim for her rehearsal staging—Swarovski-encrusted gowns, dramatic light-shadow visuals, live harpistry, and exclusive pyro effects that nod to Vienna's classical heritage. Ukraine's Leléka garners 15.2% trader support for the haunting ballad "Ridnym," praised for its emotional depth in press polls, while Romania's edgy "Choke Me" by Alexandra Căpitănescu and Bulgaria's ritualistic opener "Bangaranga" by DARA hold firm at 14.4% and 13.6% amid tight audience poll battles. Denmark's "Før Vi Går Hjem" sits at 10%, lifted by OGAE fan momentum. As the May 14 televote and jury tallies loom, rehearsal buzz underscores Australia's televote edge in this crowded field.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$179,630
Date de fin
12 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" has established Australia as the dominant frontrunner at 49.5% implied probability to claim the highest score in Eurovision 2026's Second Semi-Final, propelled by universal acclaim for her rehearsal staging—Swarovski-encrusted gowns, dramatic light-shadow visuals, live harpistry, and exclusive pyro effects that nod to Vienna's classical heritage. Ukraine's Leléka garners 15.2% trader support for the haunting ballad "Ridnym," praised for its emotional depth in press polls, while Romania's edgy "Choke Me" by Alexandra Căpitănescu and Bulgaria's ritualistic opener "Bangaranga" by DARA hold firm at 14.4% and 13.6% amid tight audience poll battles. Denmark's "Før Vi Går Hjem" sits at 10%, lifted by OGAE fan momentum. As the May 14 televote and jury tallies loom, rehearsal buzz underscores Australia's televote edge in this crowded field.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$179,630
Date de fin
12 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Questions fréquentes

« Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 15 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Australia » à 51%, suivi de « Ukraine » à 15%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 51¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 51% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner » a généré $179.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 7, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner », parcourez les 15 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner » est « Australia » à 51%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 51% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Ukraine » à 15%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.