Australia’s commanding position stems from Delta Goodrem’s polished live delivery of the emotional ballad “Eclipse” in the second semi-final, which earned widespread praise from juries and viewers alike for its vocal strength and staging. The Australian entry’s combination of international recognition and broad appeal has translated into dominant trader consensus. Bulgaria’s energetic “Bangaranga” by Dara sits second after a vibrant performance that secured qualification but lacks the same crossover momentum. Ukraine, Romania, and Denmark round out the top five on modest support following their own strong showings, while the remaining entrants trail far behind with negligible implied probabilities. The market reflects the immediate post-semi-final reality ahead of Saturday’s grand final.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Australia 74%
Bulgaria 20.3%
Ukraine 4.7%
Romania 2.8%
$219,803 Vol.
$219,803 Vol.
Australia
74%
Bulgaria
20%
Ukraine
5%
Romania
3%
Denmark
1%
Czechia
1%
Norway
<1%
Albania
<1%
Cyprus
<1%
Malta
<1%
Australia 74%
Bulgaria 20.3%
Ukraine 4.7%
Romania 2.8%
$219,803 Vol.
$219,803 Vol.
Australia
74%
Bulgaria
20%
Ukraine
5%
Romania
3%
Denmark
1%
Czechia
1%
Norway
<1%
Albania
<1%
Cyprus
<1%
Malta
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Australia’s commanding position stems from Delta Goodrem’s polished live delivery of the emotional ballad “Eclipse” in the second semi-final, which earned widespread praise from juries and viewers alike for its vocal strength and staging. The Australian entry’s combination of international recognition and broad appeal has translated into dominant trader consensus. Bulgaria’s energetic “Bangaranga” by Dara sits second after a vibrant performance that secured qualification but lacks the same crossover momentum. Ukraine, Romania, and Denmark round out the top five on modest support following their own strong showings, while the remaining entrants trail far behind with negligible implied probabilities. The market reflects the immediate post-semi-final reality ahead of Saturday’s grand final.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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