Bulgaria has surged to frontrunner status in the Eurovision 2026 second semi-final winner market thanks to standout rehearsals and a commanding live performance of “Bangaranga” that delivered high-energy staging and vocal strength, cementing trader consensus around its implied 56.2% probability. Australia’s Delta Goodrem sits second at 26.0% after a polished, professional delivery of “Eclipse” that earned strong reviews but trailed Bulgaria in perceived voter impact. Denmark, Romania, Ukraine, and the remaining qualifiers trail at single-digit or lower odds following the May 14 semi-final in Vienna, where clear separation emerged in post-show sentiment and historical voting patterns favoring well-staged, memorable entries. With results expected to lock in shortly, momentum has stabilized around the top two while lower-placed acts face steep barriers from weaker comparative reception.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Bulgaria 84.4%
Australia 7%
Romania 3.5%
Denmark 1.5%
$225,717 Vol.
$225,717 Vol.
12 mai 2026
Bulgaria
84%
Australia
10%
Romania
3%
Denmark
2%
Czechia
1%
Ukraine
1%
Albania
<1%
Norway
<1%
Cyprus
<1%
Malta
<1%
Bulgaria 84.4%
Australia 7%
Romania 3.5%
Denmark 1.5%
$225,717 Vol.
$225,717 Vol.
12 mai 2026
Bulgaria
$19,236 Vol.
84%
Australia
$47,068 Vol.
10%
Romania
$19,242 Vol.
3%
Denmark
$47,938 Vol.
2%
Czechia
$9,803 Vol.
1%
Ukraine
$15,334 Vol.
1%
Albania
$9,119 Vol.
<1%
Norway
$9,016 Vol.
<1%
Cyprus
$6,922 Vol.
<1%
Malta
$8,115 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria has surged to frontrunner status in the Eurovision 2026 second semi-final winner market thanks to standout rehearsals and a commanding live performance of “Bangaranga” that delivered high-energy staging and vocal strength, cementing trader consensus around its implied 56.2% probability. Australia’s Delta Goodrem sits second at 26.0% after a polished, professional delivery of “Eclipse” that earned strong reviews but trailed Bulgaria in perceived voter impact. Denmark, Romania, Ukraine, and the remaining qualifiers trail at single-digit or lower odds following the May 14 semi-final in Vienna, where clear separation emerged in post-show sentiment and historical voting patterns favoring well-staged, memorable entries. With results expected to lock in shortly, momentum has stabilized around the top two while lower-placed acts face steep barriers from weaker comparative reception.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Volume
$225,717Date de fin
12 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria has surged to frontrunner status in the Eurovision 2026 second semi-final winner market thanks to standout rehearsals and a commanding live performance of “Bangaranga” that delivered high-energy staging and vocal strength, cementing trader consensus around its implied 56.2% probability. Australia’s Delta Goodrem sits second at 26.0% after a polished, professional delivery of “Eclipse” that earned strong reviews but trailed Bulgaria in perceived voter impact. Denmark, Romania, Ukraine, and the remaining qualifiers trail at single-digit or lower odds following the May 14 semi-final in Vienna, where clear separation emerged in post-show sentiment and historical voting patterns favoring well-staged, memorable entries. With results expected to lock in shortly, momentum has stabilized around the top two while lower-placed acts face steep barriers from weaker comparative reception.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$225,717Date de fin
12 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Bulgaria has surged to frontrunner status in the Eurovision 2026 second semi-final winner market thanks to standout rehearsals and a commanding live performance of “Bangaranga” that delivered high-energy staging and vocal strength, cementing trader consensus around its implied 56.2% probability. Australia’s Delta Goodrem sits second at 26.0% after a polished, professional delivery of “Eclipse” that earned strong reviews but trailed Bulgaria in perceived voter impact. Denmark, Romania, Ukraine, and the remaining qualifiers trail at single-digit or lower odds following the May 14 semi-final in Vienna, where clear separation emerged in post-show sentiment and historical voting patterns favoring well-staged, memorable entries. With results expected to lock in shortly, momentum has stabilized around the top two while lower-placed acts face steep barriers from weaker comparative reception.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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