Israel’s entry “Michelle” by Noam Bettan has emerged as the clear leader for third place, driven by polished Vienna rehearsals that highlight its emotive staging and balanced jury-televote appeal, positioning the song as a reliable podium contender without overtaking outright favorites. Greece’s energetic “Ferto” by Akylas has climbed sharply on strong vocal delivery and recent odds momentum, while Sweden’s Felicia entry benefits from consistent Nordic bloc support and historical jury strength. These probabilities reflect grand-final running-order advantages and semi-final qualifiers, with Australia, Cyprus, and Bulgaria as notable dark horses reliant on late televote surges ahead of the May 16 Vienna showdown.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEurovision 3rd Place 2026
Australia 23%
Finland 17%
Denmark 4.0%
Greece 1.0%
$53,109 Vol.
$53,109 Vol.

Australia
23%

Finland
17%

Denmark
4%

Greece
1%

Belgium
1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Cyprus
15%

Germany
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Croatia
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Italy
12%

Montenegro
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Sweden
<1%

Ukraine
9%

United Kingdom
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Bulgaria
<1%

Czechia
<1%

France
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Malta
<1%

Switzerland
<1%

Moldova
<1%

Norway
<1%

Poland
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Israel
-

Romania
55%
Australia 23%
Finland 17%
Denmark 4.0%
Greece 1.0%
$53,109 Vol.
$53,109 Vol.

Australia
23%

Finland
17%

Denmark
4%

Greece
1%

Belgium
1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Cyprus
15%

Germany
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Croatia
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Italy
12%

Montenegro
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Sweden
<1%

Ukraine
9%

United Kingdom
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Bulgaria
<1%

Czechia
<1%

France
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Malta
<1%

Switzerland
<1%

Moldova
<1%

Norway
<1%

Poland
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Israel
-

Romania
55%
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel’s entry “Michelle” by Noam Bettan has emerged as the clear leader for third place, driven by polished Vienna rehearsals that highlight its emotive staging and balanced jury-televote appeal, positioning the song as a reliable podium contender without overtaking outright favorites. Greece’s energetic “Ferto” by Akylas has climbed sharply on strong vocal delivery and recent odds momentum, while Sweden’s Felicia entry benefits from consistent Nordic bloc support and historical jury strength. These probabilities reflect grand-final running-order advantages and semi-final qualifiers, with Australia, Cyprus, and Bulgaria as notable dark horses reliant on late televote surges ahead of the May 16 Vienna showdown.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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