Skip to main content
icon for Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026

Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026

icon for Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026

Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026

Bulgarie 100.0%

Albanie <1%

Autriche <1%

Belgique <1%

Polymarket

$193,066,176 Vol.

Bulgarie 100.0%

Albanie <1%

Autriche <1%

Belgique <1%

Polymarket

$193,066,176 Vol.

icon for Bulgarie

Bulgarie

$6,160,728 Vol.

100%

icon for Albanie

Albanie

$8,003,561 Vol.

<1%

icon for Autriche

Autriche

$8,082,125 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belgique

Belgique

$5,417,465 Vol.

<1%

icon for Croatie

Croatie

$5,645,663 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tchéquie

Tchéquie

$3,523,119 Vol.

<1%

icon for France

France

$4,295,343 Vol.

<1%

icon for Allemagne

Allemagne

$4,628,156 Vol.

<1%

icon for Israël

Israël

$5,288,176 Vol.

<1%

icon for Moldavie

Moldavie

$5,406,179 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norvège

Norvège

$6,091,029 Vol.

<1%

icon for Suède

Suède

$3,197,877 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$3,941,484 Vol.

<1%

icon for Australie

Australie

$4,630,790 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chypre

Chypre

$4,312,464 Vol.

<1%

icon for Danemark

Danemark

$3,472,403 Vol.

<1%

icon for Finlande

Finlande

$6,545,870 Vol.

<1%

icon for Grèce

Grèce

$4,875,894 Vol.

<1%

icon for Italie

Italie

$4,904,244 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituanie

Lituanie

$6,084,448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Malte

Malte

$4,428,592 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pologne

Pologne

$8,389,172 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roumanie

Roumanie

$4,189,094 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbie

Serbie

$6,727,740 Vol.

<1%

icon for Royaume-Uni

Royaume-Uni

$4,802,234 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria’s commanding position in the Eurovision 2026 winner market reflects overwhelming trader consensus around Dara’s high-energy entry “Bangaranga,” which has generated exceptional rehearsal buzz and national-selection momentum heading into the Vienna final. Recent semi-final performances and positive industry feedback have solidified its frontrunner status, pushing implied probability well above 80 percent as bettors price in strong televote appeal and historical precedent for upbeat Balkan tracks. Israel sits as a distant second at 17.2 percent on the strength of Noam Bettan’s polished ballad “Michelle,” though it trails significantly amid competition from Australia and traditional powerhouses like Finland. With the grand final imminent, late jury and public-vote shifts remain the key swing factors in this rapidly tightening contest.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$193,066,176
Date de fin
16 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Résultat proposé: Non

Fenêtre de contestation

Final

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria’s commanding position in the Eurovision 2026 winner market reflects overwhelming trader consensus around Dara’s high-energy entry “Bangaranga,” which has generated exceptional rehearsal buzz and national-selection momentum heading into the Vienna final. Recent semi-final performances and positive industry feedback have solidified its frontrunner status, pushing implied probability well above 80 percent as bettors price in strong televote appeal and historical precedent for upbeat Balkan tracks. Israel sits as a distant second at 17.2 percent on the strength of Noam Bettan’s polished ballad “Michelle,” though it trails significantly amid competition from Australia and traditional powerhouses like Finland. With the grand final imminent, late jury and public-vote shifts remain the key swing factors in this rapidly tightening contest.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$193,066,176
Date de fin
16 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Résultat proposé: Non

Fenêtre de contestation

Final

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 35 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Bulgarie » à 100%, suivi de « Albanie » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 » a généré $193.1 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 6, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 », parcourez les 35 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 » est « Bulgarie » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Albanie » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.