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icon for Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026

Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026

icon for Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026

Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026

Finlande 43.9%

Grèce 14.0%

Danemark 12.5%

Australie 5.6%

Polymarket

$157,799,535 Vol.

Finlande 43.9%

Grèce 14.0%

Danemark 12.5%

Australie 5.6%

Polymarket

$157,799,535 Vol.

icon for Finlande

Finlande

$4,643,915 Vol.

44%

icon for Grèce

Grèce

$3,899,579 Vol.

14%

icon for Danemark

Danemark

$2,428,026 Vol.

13%

icon for Australie

Australie

$2,585,805 Vol.

6%

icon for Israël

Israël

$2,982,272 Vol.

6%

icon for France

France

$3,195,180 Vol.

5%

icon for Roumanie

Roumanie

$2,711,110 Vol.

4%

icon for Italie

Italie

$3,734,192 Vol.

2%

icon for Moldavie

Moldavie

$4,173,893 Vol.

1%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$2,805,817 Vol.

1%

icon for Croatie

Croatie

$4,503,656 Vol.

1%

icon for Malte

Malte

$2,980,571 Vol.

1%

icon for Suède

Suède

$2,147,322 Vol.

1%

icon for Tchéquie

Tchéquie

$2,294,343 Vol.

1%

icon for Bulgarie

Bulgarie

$3,040,118 Vol.

1%

icon for Chypre

Chypre

$2,745,216 Vol.

1%

icon for Albanie

Albanie

$6,753,311 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norvège

Norvège

$4,470,414 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbie

Serbie

$5,580,065 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luxembourg

Luxembourg

$3,754,986 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pologne

Pologne

$6,437,830 Vol.

<1%

icon for Autriche

Autriche

$7,249,798 Vol.

<1%

icon for Allemagne

Allemagne

$3,372,341 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lettonie

Lettonie

$5,799,045 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arménie

Arménie

$6,513,194 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituanie

Lituanie

$5,259,309 Vol.

<1%

icon for Suisse

Suisse

$5,741,510 Vol.

<1%

icon for Royaume-Uni

Royaume-Uni

$3,585,025 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belgique

Belgique

$5,058,172 Vol.

<1%

icon for Azerbaïdjan

Azerbaïdjan

$6,700,567 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top Polymarket trader consensus at 43.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by their UMK national selection victory with the high-energy "Liekinheitin"—a violin-driven powerhouse that dominated OGAE fan polls and rehearsal previews, securing strong Semi-final 1 qualification yesterday. Greece's Akylas follows at 14% on infectious "Ferto" televote buzz but lags with jury concerns over vocal stability, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard climbed to 12.7% after a standout 30-second rehearsal clip edged out Greece, positioning it as a dark horse compromise. With Semi-final 2 looming tomorrow and the Vienna grand final Saturday, jury-public vote splits and staging polish remain pivotal swing factors in this liquid market.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$157,799,535
Date de fin
16 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top Polymarket trader consensus at 43.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by their UMK national selection victory with the high-energy "Liekinheitin"—a violin-driven powerhouse that dominated OGAE fan polls and rehearsal previews, securing strong Semi-final 1 qualification yesterday. Greece's Akylas follows at 14% on infectious "Ferto" televote buzz but lags with jury concerns over vocal stability, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard climbed to 12.7% after a standout 30-second rehearsal clip edged out Greece, positioning it as a dark horse compromise. With Semi-final 2 looming tomorrow and the Vienna grand final Saturday, jury-public vote splits and staging polish remain pivotal swing factors in this liquid market.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$157,799,535
Date de fin
16 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Questions fréquentes

« Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 35 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Finlande » à 44%, suivi de « Grèce » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 44¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 » a généré $157.8 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 6, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 », parcourez les 35 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 » est « Finlande » à 44%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Grèce » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.