The tight contest between the United States and Türkiye for the Group D crown stems primarily from the co-hosts' home-soil advantage and recent friendly results against all three opponents, balanced against Türkiye's strong momentum from a deep Euro 2024 run. The USMNT opens against Australia before facing Paraguay and Türkiye, with their higher FIFA ranking and familiarity from last year's matches providing a slight edge in trader pricing. Paraguay offers defensive resilience that could complicate results, while Australia brings transitional squad energy from prior World Cup experience. These dynamics keep implied probabilities closely bunched, with outcomes hinging on form, set-piece execution, and the expanded format's third-place qualification path.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉtats-Unis 41%
Turquie 37%
Paraguay 18%
Australie 8.5%
$44,674 Vol.
$44,674 Vol.
27 juin 2026
États-Unis
41%
Turquie
37%
Paraguay
18%
Australie
9%
États-Unis 41%
Turquie 37%
Paraguay 18%
Australie 8.5%
$44,674 Vol.
$44,674 Vol.
27 juin 2026
États-Unis
$12,887 Vol.
41%
Turquie
$17,525 Vol.
37%
Paraguay
$8,636 Vol.
18%
Australie
$5,626 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight contest between the United States and Türkiye for the Group D crown stems primarily from the co-hosts' home-soil advantage and recent friendly results against all three opponents, balanced against Türkiye's strong momentum from a deep Euro 2024 run. The USMNT opens against Australia before facing Paraguay and Türkiye, with their higher FIFA ranking and familiarity from last year's matches providing a slight edge in trader pricing. Paraguay offers defensive resilience that could complicate results, while Australia brings transitional squad energy from prior World Cup experience. These dynamics keep implied probabilities closely bunched, with outcomes hinging on form, set-piece execution, and the expanded format's third-place qualification path.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Volume
$44,674Date de fin
27 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight contest between the United States and Türkiye for the Group D crown stems primarily from the co-hosts' home-soil advantage and recent friendly results against all three opponents, balanced against Türkiye's strong momentum from a deep Euro 2024 run. The USMNT opens against Australia before facing Paraguay and Türkiye, with their higher FIFA ranking and familiarity from last year's matches providing a slight edge in trader pricing. Paraguay offers defensive resilience that could complicate results, while Australia brings transitional squad energy from prior World Cup experience. These dynamics keep implied probabilities closely bunched, with outcomes hinging on form, set-piece execution, and the expanded format's third-place qualification path.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$44,674Date de fin
27 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight contest between the United States and Türkiye for the Group D crown stems primarily from the co-hosts' home-soil advantage and recent friendly results against all three opponents, balanced against Türkiye's strong momentum from a deep Euro 2024 run. The USMNT opens against Australia before facing Paraguay and Türkiye, with their higher FIFA ranking and familiarity from last year's matches providing a slight edge in trader pricing. Paraguay offers defensive resilience that could complicate results, while Australia brings transitional squad energy from prior World Cup experience. These dynamics keep implied probabilities closely bunched, with outcomes hinging on form, set-piece execution, and the expanded format's third-place qualification path.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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