Belgium holds the strongest position in Group G at 66% implied probability thanks to its elite FIFA ranking near ninth, unbeaten UEFA qualifying campaign, and depth across experienced attackers and a solid defense ahead of June matches. Egypt sits at 17.5% as the primary challenger, driven by an undefeated CAF qualifying run and attacking options, though consistency against top sides remains a factor. Iran’s 10% reflects reliable AFC qualification results and physical style, tempered by external scheduling concerns, while New Zealand’s 5.9% stems from OFC dominance yet limited recent results against higher-ranked opponents, including a mixed set of friendlies. The upcoming group-stage schedule, with Belgium facing Egypt first, shapes early sentiment around these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBelgique 66%
Égypte 18%
Iran 10.0%
Nouvelle-Zélande 5.8%
$59,195 Vol.
$59,195 Vol.
Belgique
66%
Égypte
18%
Iran
10%
Nouvelle-Zélande
6%
Belgique 66%
Égypte 18%
Iran 10.0%
Nouvelle-Zélande 5.8%
$59,195 Vol.
$59,195 Vol.
Belgique
66%
Égypte
18%
Iran
10%
Nouvelle-Zélande
6%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 6:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Belgium holds the strongest position in Group G at 66% implied probability thanks to its elite FIFA ranking near ninth, unbeaten UEFA qualifying campaign, and depth across experienced attackers and a solid defense ahead of June matches. Egypt sits at 17.5% as the primary challenger, driven by an undefeated CAF qualifying run and attacking options, though consistency against top sides remains a factor. Iran’s 10% reflects reliable AFC qualification results and physical style, tempered by external scheduling concerns, while New Zealand’s 5.9% stems from OFC dominance yet limited recent results against higher-ranked opponents, including a mixed set of friendlies. The upcoming group-stage schedule, with Belgium facing Egypt first, shapes early sentiment around these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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